Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Nurnberg Prediction & Betting Tips

Two teams on decent runs, but read the samples carefully

Leverkusen's last 20 matches show 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 48 goals scored and 20 conceded. That sample spans Bundesliga games, a Europa League tie, cup football and pre-season friendlies, including a 7-0 friendly win that skews the goal tally.

Bayer Leverkusen: 20 completed matches; FC Nurnberg: 20 completed matches.

Bayer Leverkusen

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

48

Conceded

20

Difference

+28

FC Nurnberg

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

52

Conceded

21

Difference

+31

Nurnberg's record over the same length of sample is even better on paper: 12 wins, 7 draws and just 1 loss, with 52 scored and 21 conceded. Again, though, that includes lopsided friendly results like a 10-0 and a 1-5, so it's not a clean read of their 2. Bundesliga form alone.

Both sides look to be in good touch, but the mix of competitions in each sample means the numbers overstate how sharp either team currently is in genuinely competitive fixtures.

Comparative Team Statistics: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Nurnberg

History leans one way, but it's old

The last ten meetings between these two go back to 2010, with the most recent coming in 2019 when Leverkusen won 2-0. Leverkusen have the better overall record across that period, including a 3-0 and a 4-1 in their favour.

Nurnberg have had their moments too, including a 3-0 win at the BayArena in 2011 and a 1-0 home win that same season. None of this tells us much about either side's current level, given how much time has passed.

A cup night with some unpredictability built in

Leverkusen go into this as a top-flight side facing a second-tier opponent, and their recent form backs up the idea they should be competitive favourites on paper. Nurnberg's own results, though, suggest they won't just turn up and make up the numbers.

Cup ties like this can throw up surprises, especially if a top-flight side treats it as a lesser priority than their league campaign. Nothing in the data here confirms team selection or approach, so that's something to watch rather than assume.