Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Prediction, 29 Sep 2026

Slovenia host FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League. Slovenia's recent results have swung between good wins and rough losses, while Macedonia have really struggled to find the net lately.

That contrast in firepower is the first thing that jumps out here. Whether Slovenia can turn that edge into a comfortable evening at home remains to be seen.

Analysis updated 25 Sep 2026, 15:52 UTC.

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Recent Form

Slovenia's last six matches have been a mixed bag: three wins, a draw and two defeats, with eight goals scored and seven conceded. They've beaten Bosnia & Herzegovina and Montenegro, but they've also lost to Croatia and Hungary, so the form isn't spotless.

What could your bet return?

Slovenia to win

Your stake£

Odds1.65

Potential return£33.00Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return£72.00Bet Now

FYR Macedonia to win

Your stake£

Odds5.75

Potential return£115.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Slovenia: 7 completed matches; FYR Macedonia: 6 completed matches.

Slovenia

7 matches

Win: 42.9% 3 / 7
Draw: 28.6% 2 / 7
Loss: 28.5% 2 / 7

Scored: 8
Conceded: 7
Difference: +1

FYR Macedonia

6 matches

Win: 0% 0 / 6
Draw: 50% 3 / 6
Loss: 50% 3 / 6

Scored: 1
Conceded: 9
Difference: -8

Slovenia
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Nations League	Slovenia	Scotland	26.09.2026	0-0
Friendlies	Croatia	Slovenia	07.06.2026	2-1
Friendlies	Slovenia	Cyprus	04.06.2026	1-1
Friendlies	Montenegro	Slovenia	31.03.2026	2-3
Friendlies	Hungary	Slovenia	28.03.2026	1-0
Friendlies	Slovenia	Bosnia & Herzegovina	10.06.2025	2-1
Friendlies	Luxembourg	Slovenia	06.06.2025	0-1

FYR Macedonia
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Nations League	FYR Macedonia	Switzerland	26.09.2026	0-3
Friendlies	Türkiye	FYR Macedonia	01.06.2026	4-0
Friendlies	Bosnia & Herzegovina	FYR Macedonia	29.05.2026	0-0
Friendlies	Rep. Of Ireland	FYR Macedonia	31.03.2026	0-0
Friendlies	FYR Macedonia	Latvia	13.11.2025	0-0
Friendlies	Saudi Arabia	FYR Macedonia	04.09.2025	2-1

FYR Macedonia's picture is much flatter. Across their last five games they've drawn three, lost two, and won none, with a single goal scored in that whole run. Conceding six in the process tells a similar story of a side struggling to create or convert.

Macedonia's lack of goals stands out more than any dip in Slovenia's own form.

Comparative Team Statistics: Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

Head-to-Head

These two have only met a handful of times on record, three matches since 2019, and every one has been tight. Two finished level at 1-1, and Macedonia edged the other 2-1 at home in a Euro qualifier.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Friendlies	FYR Macedonia	Slovenia	01.06.2021	1-1
Euro Championship	FYR Macedonia	Slovenia	10.10.2019	2-1
Euro Championship	Slovenia	FYR Macedonia	24.03.2019	1-1

None of that tells us much about where either side stands now given how long ago it was, but it does show these games rarely get one-sided.

Team News

There isn't much personnel information to go on here, just a note that Slovenia's A. Čerin has picked up three yellow cards in seven appearances. That's not proof of anything for this specific game, but it's worth keeping an eye on any accumulation risk.

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia: UEFA Nations League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

How This One Could Play Out

Put the goal numbers together and a pattern emerges. Slovenia have scored in most of their recent matches, while Macedonia have barely scored at all. That gap, more than anything in the head-to-head history, points to Slovenia doing most of the attacking.

Macedonia's low scoring could mean a tighter, more cagey game if their defence holds firm, but based on recent evidence, the goal difference clearly favours the hosts.

A quiet Macedonia attack doesn't guarantee a clean sheet at the back for them, though.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 1.65

Х: 3.6

W2: 5.75

Handicap

Slovenia

FYR Macedonia

Handicap (-3.5): 10.50

Handicap (-3.5): 1.03

Handicap (-3): 12.00

Handicap (-3): 1.01

Handicap (-2.75): 7.00

Handicap (-2.75): 1.10

Handicap (-2.5): 5.50

Handicap (-2.5): 1.15

Handicap (-2.25): 5.00

Handicap (-2.25): 1.17

Handicap (-2): 4.40

Handicap (-2): 1.20

Handicap (-1.75): 3.30

Handicap (-1.75): 1.32

Handicap (-1.5): 2.60

Handicap (-1.5): 1.48

Handicap (-1.25): 2.30

Handicap (-1.25): 1.60

Handicap (-1): 2.00

Handicap (-1): 1.80

Handicap (-0.75): 1.70

Handicap (-0.75): 2.10

Handicap (-0.5): 1.55

Handicap (-0.5): 2.38

Handicap (-0.25): 1.35

Handicap (-0.25): 3.10

Handicap (0): 1.18

Handicap (0): 4.80

Handicap (0.25): 1.14

Handicap (0.25): 5.75

Handicap (0.5): 1.12

Handicap (0.5): 6.25

Handicap (0.75): 1.11

Handicap (0.75): 6.60

Handicap (1): 1.02

Handicap (1): 10.50

Handicap (1.5): 1.02

Handicap (1.5): 12.00

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.08

Under (0.5): 8.00

Over (0.75): 1.04

Under (0.75): 6.75

Over (1): 1.07

Under (1): 6.15

Over (1.25): 1.22

Under (1.25): 3.65

Over (1.5): 1.36

Under (1.5): 3.00

Over (1.75): 1.48

Under (1.75): 2.46

Over (2): 1.65

Under (2): 2.13

Over (2.25): 1.92

Under (2.25): 1.82

Over (2.5): 2.20

Under (2.5): 1.65

Over (2.75): 2.57

Under (2.75): 1.47

Over (3): 3.26

Under (3): 1.30

Over (3.25): 3.64

Under (3.25): 1.24

Over (3.5): 4.00

Under (3.5): 1.22

Over (3.75): 4.95

Under (3.75): 1.12

Over (4): 6.90

Under (4): 1.05

Over (4.25): 7.10

Under (4.25): 1.04

Over (4.5): 9.00

Under (4.5): 1.07

Over (5): 12.50

Under (5): 1.01

Over (5.5): 19.00

Under (5.5): 1.02

Over (6.5): 41.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Slovenia
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
J. Oblak	Slovenia	33	Goalkeeper	188	87
Ž. Celar	Slovenia	27	Attacker	186	82
J. Bijol	Slovenia	27	Defender	190	85
P. Stojanović	Slovenia	30	Midfielder	178	72
B. Verbič	Slovenia	32	Midfielder	179	70
S. Lovrić	Slovenia	28	Midfielder	180	70
E. Janža	Slovenia	33	Defender	175	76
T. Elšnik	Slovenia	28	Midfielder	182	65
J. Gorenc Stankovič	Slovenia	30	Midfielder	190	78
J. Balkovec	Slovenia	32	Defender	185	74
V. Drkušić	Slovenia	26	Defender	188	80
D. Zec	Slovenia	26	Defender	188	82
A. Čerin	Slovenia	27	Midfielder	180	77
A. Šporar	Slovenia	32	Forward	186	82
M. Vidovšek	Slovenia	26	Goalkeeper	199	89
E. Sokler	Slovenia	27	Attacker	181	69
Ž. Karničnik	Slovenia	32	Defender	184	77
T. Horvat	Slovenia	27	Midfielder	175	69
D. Brekalo	Slovenia	27	Defender	188	78
I. Vekič	Slovenia	28	Goalkeeper	192	88

FYR Macedonia
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
E. Elmas	North Macedonia	27	Midfielder	184	78
D. Iliev	North Macedonia	31	Goalkeeper	195	87
G. Zajkov	North Macedonia	31	Defender	186	78
S. Ashkovski	North Macedonia	34	Attacker	179	63
E. Alioski	North Macedonia	34	Defender	172	68
A. Trajkovski	North Macedonia	34	Attacker	179	78
D. Babunski	North Macedonia	32	Midfielder	178	68
E. Bardhi	North Macedonia	31	Midfielder	172	67
S. Dimitrievski	North Macedonia	32	Goalkeeper	188	84
J. Atanasov	North Macedonia	26	Midfielder	187	79
D. Shishkovski	North Macedonia	31	Goalkeeper	193	88
I. Alimi	Albania	32	Midfielder	186	81
T. Kostadinov	North Macedonia	30	Midfielder	180	77
K. Trapanovski	North Macedonia	27	Midfielder	180	n/a
V. Musliu	North Macedonia	31	Defender	187	80
I. Aleksovski	North Macedonia	31	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
D. Churlinov	North Macedonia	26	Forward	180	73
B. Dimoski	North Macedonia	24	Defender	176	70
B. Miovski	North Macedonia	27	Attacker	189	76
B. Ilievski	North Macedonia	27	Defender	n/a	n/a

Macedonia's goal drought is the clearest signal in this data set, and Slovenia's home fixture against that kind of opponent looks like a reasonable spot to back the hosts without needing a big margin.

We're leaning towards Slovenia doing enough to win outright, backed by the -0.5 handicap rather than a bigger scoreline.