Belgium vs France Prediction & Betting Tips

Plenty of goals from both camps

Belgium have won six of their last ten matches, drawn three and lost only one, scoring 27 and conceding just 10 along the way. That's a tidy return, built on a run through the summer that mixed World Cup football with a couple of friendlies.

What could your bet return?

1

Belgium to win

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Odds3.7

Potential return

£74.00

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X

Draw

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Odds4

Potential return

£80.00

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2

France to win

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Odds1.85

Potential return

£37.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Belgium: 11 completed matches; France: 13 completed matches.

Belgium

11 matches

Win

63.6% 7 / 11

Draw

27.3% 3 / 11

Loss

9.1% 1 / 11

Scored

29

Conceded

10

Difference

+19

France

13 matches

Win

76.9% 10 / 13

Draw

0% 0 / 13

Loss

23.1% 3 / 13

Scored

30

Conceded

15

Difference

+15

France have actually won more often in percentage terms, taking nine of twelve, but they've also lost three times, to England, Spain and Ivory Coast, and shipped 15 goals in that spell. They can clearly score for fun, netting 29 in the sample, but they've been more open at the back than Belgium.

Both sides can find the net, but France's defence has looked the more porous of the two lately.

Comparative Team Statistics: Belgium vs France

France's recent grip on this fixture

Looking back over the last five meetings between these two, France have won every single one. That run covers the 2018 World Cup, a 2021 Nations League game, last summer's Euros and both legs of their 2024 Nations League double.

Crucially, the most recent meeting was played at this same Belgium ground, and France won it 2-1. That's the freshest data point we have for this exact matchup.

History clearly leans France's way going into this one, even on Belgian soil.

Digne pulling strings, cards to watch

Among the individual numbers we have, Lucas Digne stands out for France with three assists in six appearances, suggesting he's been a genuine outlet from full-back rather than just a defensive option.

Belgium:

Best scorers:

D. Lukebakio - 1

Best assist providers:

K. De Bruyne - 1

C. De Ketelaere - 1

Penalty cards:

R. Lukaku x 1

M. Fernandez-Pardo x 1

R. Lavia x 1

France:

Best scorers:

Kylian Mbappé - 1

Best assist providers:

M. Olise - 1

Penalty cards:

E. Lepaul x 1

Digne and Randal Kolo Muani have both picked up three yellow cards apiece in their recent matches, which is worth keeping an eye on given how quickly a caution or two can add up over a short run of games. We don't have equivalent individual data for Belgium's squad here.

How this one could play out

Belgium's home form has been solid, just one defeat in ten, and they've kept things tighter defensively than France have managed. That suggests they won't be easy to break down even with the head-to-head record stacked against them.

France, though, arrive with a proven habit of winning this exact fixture, and their attacking numbers suggest they'll create chances regardless of Belgium's defensive discipline. The open question is whether Belgium's tighter defence can finally break that pattern.