Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips

Austria Vienna's home form has been rough

Austria Vienna's recent Bundesliga home games haven't gone well. They lost 0-2 to Lask Linz and 0-1 to WSG Wattens at home in the last month, either side of a heavy home cup defeat.

What could your bet return?

1

Austria Vienna to win

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Odds3.4

Potential return

£68.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

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2

Sturm Graz to win

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Odds1.95

Potential return

£39.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Austria Vienna: 20 completed matches; Sturm Graz: 20 completed matches.

Austria Vienna

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

22

Difference

+16

Sturm Graz

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

23

Difference

+17

Sturm Graz's own league form has been patchier than their table position suggests. They've lost three of their last six domestic games, including away defeats at Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg. They've also been juggling continental football, moving from Champions League qualifying into the Europa League, which could mean some rotation.

Neither side is flying right now, but Austria Vienna's home displays have been the weaker of the two lately.

Comparative Team Statistics: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz have dominated this fixture

Sturm Graz have won the majority of the recorded meetings between these two clubs, including a 5-2 away win back in March. Austria Vienna have had their moments, taking a 3-1 win in December and a 4-2 win a couple of seasons back, but Sturm Graz's overall record in this fixture is considerably stronger.

The most recent meeting, in April, ended 1-1, so it hasn't always been one-sided lately. Still, across the sample, Sturm Graz have found a way to win far more often than they've lost.

The table says plenty already

Sturm Graz sit fourth with 11 points from seven league games, having won three, drawn two and lost two. Austria Vienna are down in tenth on just seven points from the same number of matches, already having lost four times domestically.

Goal difference tells a similar story. Sturm Graz have scored eight and conceded nine, while Austria Vienna have shipped 13 goals in seven league games and scored only seven.

That gap in the table lines up with the market treating Sturm Graz as favourites despite playing away.

Seidl's the man pulling the strings

Sturm Graz's S. Seidl has five assists in seven appearances this season, comfortably the most creative output from either squad. Austria Vienna's K. Boateng has two assists in the same span, while M. Fischer and J. Hettwer have two goals apiece up top for the home side.

Austria Vienna:

Best scorers:

M. Fischer - 2

J. Hettwer - 2

Best assist providers:

K. Boateng - 2

Penalty cards:

A. Dragović x 1 x 1

J. Handl x 2

Sturm Graz:

Best assist providers:

S. Seidl - 5

Penalty cards:

J. Heil x 1 x 3

A. Vallci x 1 x 1

On discipline, Sturm Graz's J. Heil has picked up three yellows and a red in seven games, and A. Vallci has also been sent off. Austria Vienna's most-carded players, J. Handl and A. Dragović, have stayed on the pitch so far this season.

Sturm Graz carry more creative threat, but their disciplinary record is worth keeping an eye on.

Goals could well be part of the story

Both sides have leaked goals this season, and this fixture's history backs that up. Plenty of the recent meetings between these two have finished with three goals or more, including that 5-2 and a 4-2 from a couple of seasons ago.

Given Austria Vienna's defensive record at home and Sturm Graz's habit of scoring even when they don't win, an open game wouldn't be a surprise.