Wales vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips

Last updated 28 Sep 2026
Wales
Wales
UEFA Nations League
01.10.2026    19:45
00
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00
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00
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W1
C: 4.75
X
C: 4.1
W2
C: 1.6
Norway
Norway

Wales host Norway in the UEFA Nations League.

Norway have been picking up wins fairly regularly of late, while Wales have found things much harder at home.

Wales haven't won any of their last six matches at home, and that's the kind of run that tends to shape how a game like this gets approached.

Analysis updated .

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Contrasting recent form

Wales have gone six matches without a win on home soil, with two draws and four defeats in that spell. They've managed just three goals across those six games while conceding nine, which points to a side short of both goals and defensive solidity right now.

What could your bet return?

1
Wales to win
Mybookie logo.
Odds4.75
Potential return£95.00Bet Now
X
Draw
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Odds4.1
Potential return£82.00Bet Now
2
Norway to win
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Odds1.6
Potential return£32.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Wales: 7 completed matches; Norway: 14 completed matches.

Wales

7 matches
Win
0% 0 / 7
Draw
28.6% 2 / 7
Loss
71.4% 5 / 7
Scored
3
Conceded
11
Difference
-8

Norway

14 matches
Win
50% 7 / 14
Draw
21.4% 3 / 14
Loss
28.6% 4 / 14
Scored
24
Conceded
20
Difference
+4
Wales
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Denmark Wales 27.09.2026 2-0
UEFA Nations League Portugal Wales 24.09.2026 1-0
Friendlies Romania Wales 06.06.2026 2-1
Friendlies Wales Ghana 02.06.2026 1-1
Friendlies Wales Northern Ireland 31.03.2026 1-1
Friendlies England Wales 09.10.2025 3-0
Friendlies Wales Canada 09.09.2025 0-1
Load more
Norway
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Norway Portugal 27.09.2026 1-2
UEFA Nations League Norway Denmark 24.09.2026 3-2
World Cup Norway England 12.07.2026 1-2
World Cup Brazil Norway 05.07.2026 1-2
World Cup Ivory Coast Norway 30.06.2026 1-2
World Cup Norway France 26.06.2026 1-4
World Cup Norway Senegal 23.06.2026 3-2
World Cup Iraq Norway 17.06.2026 1-4
Friendlies Morocco Norway 07.06.2026 1-1
Friendlies Norway Sweden 01.06.2026 3-1
Load more

Norway's record over their last 13 matches is much healthier on paper: seven wins, three draws and three losses, with 23 goals scored against 18 conceded. Some of those defeats came against strong World Cup opposition like Brazil and France, so the losses shouldn't be read as a side out of form, more one that's been tested.

Wales' home struggles look more concerning than any dip in Norway's numbers.

Comparative Team Statistics: Wales vs Norway

Wales vs Norway statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Haaland and company in sharp form

In their most recent outing, Norway's front line did plenty of damage: Erling Haaland scored twice and Oscar Bobb added another, with Martin Ødegaard setting up two goals and Alexander Nusa contributing an assist. That's a lot of attacking contribution concentrated in one match, which at least shows the goal threat is there when Norway click.

Norway:
Best scorers:
E. Haaland - 2
Best assist providers:
M. Ødegaard - 2
A. Nusa - 1
Penalty cards:
D. Møller Wolfe red card x 1 red card x 1

There's also a card flag worth noting. Norway's D. Møller Wolfe picked up a yellow and a red in that same game, while Wales' B. Cabango was booked. Neither entry confirms who's actually available for this fixture, but it's something to keep an eye on as team news firms up.

Wales vs Norway: UEFA Nations League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

How this one might unfold

Put Wales' leaky home defence next to a Norway side that's just seen four different players get on the scoresheet or assist sheet, and it's easy to see why goals could be a theme here. Wales have shipped nine in six home games, which is a lot for any visiting attack to fancy its chances against.

The bigger question is whether Wales can find a way to be more solid without the ball, because their recent home form suggests defending has been the issue rather than lack of endeavour going forward.

Match odds and squad lists
MATCH RESULT (1x2)
W1: 4.75
Х: 4.1
W2: 1.6
Handicap
Wales
Norway
Handicap (-2.5): 13.00
Handicap (-2.5): 1.01
Handicap (-1.5): 9.20
Handicap (-1.5): 1.03
Handicap (-1): 10.50
Handicap (-1): 1.03
Handicap (-0.75): 6.25
Handicap (-0.75): 1.12
Handicap (-0.5): 4.50
Handicap (-0.5): 1.19
Handicap (-0.25): 4.10
Handicap (-0.25): 1.23
Handicap (0): 3.55
Handicap (0): 1.27
Handicap (0.25): 2.68
Handicap (0.25): 1.45
Handicap (0.5): 2.25
Handicap (0.5): 1.62
Handicap (0.75): 2.05
Handicap (0.75): 1.80
Handicap (1): 1.75
Handicap (1): 2.05
Handicap (1.25): 1.58
Handicap (1.25): 2.35
Handicap (1.5): 1.45
Handicap (1.5): 2.68
Handicap (1.75): 1.32
Handicap (1.75): 3.30
Handicap (2): 1.21
Handicap (2): 4.25
Handicap (2.25): 1.18
Handicap (2.25): 4.65
Handicap (2.5): 1.16
Handicap (2.5): 5.25
Handicap (2.75): 1.10
Handicap (2.75): 6.80
Handicap (3): 1.02
Handicap (3): 8.10
Handicap (3.5): 1.01
Handicap (3.5): 8.70
Total
Over
Under
Over (0.5): 1.04
Under (0.5): 13.00
Over (1): 1.01
Under (1): 10.50
Over (1.25): 1.07
Under (1.25): 6.20
Over (1.5): 1.22
Under (1.5): 4.00
Over (1.75): 1.20
Under (1.75): 4.05
Over (2): 1.26
Under (2): 3.54
Over (2.25): 1.43
Under (2.25): 2.70
Over (2.5): 1.73
Under (2.5): 2.08
Over (2.75): 1.75
Under (2.75): 2.01
Over (3): 1.97
Under (3): 1.76
Over (3.25): 2.21
Under (3.25): 1.59
Over (3.5): 2.75
Under (3.5): 1.40
Over (3.75): 2.88
Under (3.75): 1.34
Over (4): 3.66
Under (4): 1.21
Over (4.25): 3.96
Under (4.25): 1.17
Over (4.5): 5.50
Under (4.5): 1.14
Over (4.75): 5.35
Under (4.75): 1.09
Over (5): 7.40
Under (5): 1.03
Over (5.5): 11.00
Under (5.5): 1.05
Over (6.5): 23.00
Under (6.5): 1.01
Over (7.5): 51.00
More odds

Squad and player details

Wales
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
B. Davies Wales 33 Defender 181 77
R. Matondo Wales 26 Midfielder 175 66
E. Ampadu Wales 26 Defender 182 78
D. Cornell Wales 35 Goalkeeper 180 73
M. Harris Wales 27 Attacker 182 75
D. Ward Wales 33 Goalkeeper 191 88
R. Norrington-Davies Wales 27 Defender 181 68
S. Thomas Wales 27 Midfielder 185 79
C. Mepham Wales 28 Defender 193 88
D. Brooks Wales 29 Midfielder 173 62
K. Darlow England 35 Goalkeeper 190 88
T. Lawrence Wales 32 Attacker 180 75
H. Wilson Wales 29 Attacker 173 63
J. Dasilva England 28 Defender 170 64
J. Rodon Wales 28 Defender 193 88
D. James Wales 28 Midfielder 171 63
C. Roberts Wales 31 Defender 175 72
L. Cullen Wales 27 Attacker 178 63
J. Allen Wales 36 Midfielder 170 62
A. Davies Wales 34 Goalkeeper 185 75
Norway
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
E. Haaland Norway 26 Attacker 195 88
K. Ajer Norway 28 Defender 198 92
E. Botheim Norway 26 Attacker 180 70
S. Berge Norway 28 Midfielder 195 96
J. Strand Larsen Norway 26 Attacker 193 79
A. Sørloth Norway 30 Forward 196 90
L. Østigård Norway 26 Defender 182 81
Ø. Nyland Norway 36 Goalkeeper 192 90
J. Ryerson Norway 28 Defender 183 86
M. Thorsby Norway 30 Midfielder 188 72
M. Ødegaard Norway 27 Midfielder 178 68
F. Aursnes Norway 30 Midfielder 179 71
F. Bjørkan Norway 28 Defender 180 74
P. Berg Norway 28 Midfielder 178 n/a
F. Myhre Norway 27 Midfielder 180 75
J. Hauge Norway 26 Midfielder 183 75
E. Selvik Norway 29 Goalkeeper 187 75
O. Bjørtuft Norway 27 Defender n/a n/a
A. Dønnum Norway 28 Midfielder 179 73
L. Johnsen Norway 27 Midfielder 179 73

Taking Wales' home form alongside Norway's recent scoring output, the away side look like the more reliable side to back here. Wales have real defensive issues to sort out, and Norway arrive with players clearly in form.

It's not a certainty by any means, Nations League games can be unpredictable, but the balance of recent evidence points towards Norway getting the win.

Match result odds

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Wales to win
4.75
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Draw
4.1
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Norway to win
1.6
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Who will win?


Wales (0%)
Draw (0%)
Norway (0%)
Swain Scheps.
Author
Last updated: September 2026
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