Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form tells two different stories

Over their last 20 matches, Botafogo have won seven, drawn six and lost seven, scoring 24 and conceding 28. Vasco's numbers in the same span read better on paper: nine wins, six draws and five losses, with 27 scored and just 17 let in.

What could your bet return?

1

Botafogo to win

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Odds2.55

Potential return

£51.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.4

Potential return

£68.00

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2

Vasco DA Gama to win

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Odds2.62

Potential return

£52.40

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Botafogo: 20 completed matches; Vasco DA Gama: 20 completed matches.

Botafogo

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Vasco DA Gama

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

17

Difference

+10

Zoom in on the last five games and the gap looks even clearer. Vasco have won three of them, including a 5-0 thumping of Coritiba, while Botafogo have managed only one win, with defeats to Flamengo (3-0) and Mirassol (2-0) mixed in.

Vasco arrive with the stronger recent numbers, even if Botafogo hold home advantage.

Comparative Team Statistics: Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama

A fairly even rivalry

Neither side has dominated this fixture lately. Botafogo won 2-1 away back in April, but before that Vasco beat them 2-0 at home in a Carioca clash, and Botafogo had earlier won 3-0 in Serie A. Go back further and you'll find plenty of draws and away wins mixed in too.

There's no obvious pattern of one team consistently getting the better of the other in recent meetings.

Just four points apart

Botafogo sit 12th with 35 points from 28 games, while Vasco are 16th on 31 points from 27. Both have a negative goal difference, Botafogo at minus four and Vasco at minus seven, which tells you neither side has been especially watertight this season.

It's a small gap in the table, not the kind of gulf that usually points to a one-sided contest.

Fitness doubts and key men

Botafogo have a few names to watch, with J. Correa, Marcal and S. Rodriguez all listed as questionable through injury. That matters given Danilo Santos (nine goals) and Arthur Cabral (seven) do most of the damage up front, backed up by Álvaro Montoro and Alex Telles supplying the assists.

Botafogo:

Best scorers:

Danilo Santos - 9

Arthur Cabral - 7

Best assist providers:

Álvaro Montoro - 5

Alex Telles - 4

Penalty cards:

A. Barboza x 1 x 5

C. Medina x 1 x 4

Injury list:

J. Correa

Marcal

S. Rodriguez

Vasco DA Gama:

Penalty cards:

Cauan Barros x 1 x 5

A. Gómez x 9

Thiago Mendes x 8

Injury list:

Mateus Carvalho

Vasco's main fitness concern is Mateus Carvalho with a knee issue. Their card counts are notable too, with A. Gómez and Thiago Mendes both picking up plenty of yellows this season, suggesting a side that can get physical.

Could this be an open one?

Both teams have shown they can score and both have shown they can be got at. Botafogo's 24 goals for and 28 against, alongside Vasco's 27 for and 17 against, point to two sides capable of finding the net without necessarily keeping things tidy at the back.

Given the head-to-head has rarely been cagey either, there's a decent chance goals feature at both ends again here.