Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips

Mixed form on both sides

Sweden's last ten matches have been a rollercoaster: four wins, two draws and four defeats, with 21 scored and 20 conceded. That sample includes World Cup fixtures against France and the Netherlands, so it's tougher opposition than a typical run of friendlies.

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1

Sweden to win

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Draw

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Odds3.7

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2

Poland to win

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Odds3.3

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Sweden: 11 completed matches; Poland: 5 completed matches.

Sweden

11 matches

Win

45.5% 5 / 11

Draw

18.2% 2 / 11

Loss

36.3% 4 / 11

Scored

23

Conceded

21

Difference

+2

Poland

5 matches

Win

40% 2 / 5

Draw

40% 2 / 5

Loss

20% 1 / 5

Scored

5

Conceded

4

Difference

+1

Poland's sample is much smaller, just four matches, but it tells a similar story. Two wins over Moldova and New Zealand sit alongside a 2-2 draw with Nigeria and a 0-2 loss to Ukraine. They can score, but they've also been shut out.

Neither side is arriving on the back of a settled run of results.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sweden vs Poland

A history of tight, high-scoring meetings

The last three meetings between these two have all produced goals at both ends. Sweden won 3-2 back in March 2026, Poland won 2-0 in 2022, and Sweden won 3-2 again at Euro 2021.

Two of those three games finished 3-2, which says something about how open these fixtures tend to be, even when one side comes out on top.

Recent history leans toward goals rather than a stalemate.

Gyökeres pulling the strings

The player data we've got flags Viktor Gyökeres as Sweden's top assist provider, with four assists in six matches. That's a decent output and points to him being heavily involved in Sweden's attacking play.

Poland:

Penalty cards:

J. Kiwior x 1

It's only a partial picture rather than a full squad list, so it doesn't tell us about full team news or who else might be missing, but it does highlight one clear creative source for the hosts.

Shape of the game

Put the recent head-to-head record next to Sweden's high-scoring ten-match sample and you get a picture of a game that could easily open up. Both sides have shown they can score in bursts, and their meetings rarely stay goalless for long.

At the same time, Poland's 0-2 loss to Ukraine and some of Sweden's tighter results, like the 1-1 with Japan, are a reminder that either side is capable of being kept quiet too.