Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Form lines pulling in opposite directions

Looking at a wider sample that stretches back through last season and preseason, Castellón's record reads ten wins, six draws and four defeats, with plenty of goals scored along the way. Ceuta's equivalent stretch is far bleaker: five wins, six draws and nine losses, conceding 33 goals in 20 matches.

Castellón: 20 completed matches; AD Ceuta FC: 20 completed matches.

Castellón

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

23

Difference

+9

AD Ceuta FC

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

21

Conceded

33

Difference

-12

Their most recent outings tell a similar tale. Castellón lost 1-2 away at Girona last time out, so they're not unbeatable. Ceuta, meanwhile, managed a 1-1 draw away at Valladolid, a rare bright spot in a run that's included heavy away defeats at Mallorca and Las Palmas.

Ceuta's away form has been particularly leaky this term, which matters with them travelling here.

Comparative Team Statistics: Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC

A history that's been tighter than you'd expect

The last three meetings between these two have all been draws: 1-1, 3-3 and 2-2, going back to early 2024. Ceuta's only win in the available record came further back, in 2023, when they beat Castellón 3-1 at home in the third tier.

None of that head-to-head history lines up with the current gap in form, so it's not much of a guide on its own.

The table tells its own story

Castellón sit top of Segunda División with 16 points from six games, having won five and drawn just one. Ceuta are all the way down in 22nd with a single point, having already shipped 16 goals in those same six matches.

That gap on its own makes Castellón strong favourites heading into this one.

Camara carrying the goal threat

Ousmane Camara has scored four goals in six appearances for Castellón this season, easily their most productive attacker, and he's added an assist too. Pablo Santiago has chipped in with two goals of his own.

Castellón:

Best scorers:

Ousmane Camara - 4

Best assist providers:

Ousmane Camara - 1

AD Ceuta FC:

Best scorers:

Carlos Hernández - 4

Jordi Escobar - 2

Best assist providers:

K. Koné - 3

Jordi Escobar - 1

Penalty cards:

O. Sadik x 1 x 1

Albert Caparrós x 1

On the other side, Ceuta's disciplinary sheet already shows a red card each for O. Sadik and Albert Caparrós in a handful of appearances, which hints at a side feeling the strain.

How this one could play out

Castellón have scored 12 and conceded just two in six league games, so they'll fancy their chances against a defence that's already let in 16. Ceuta have shown they can dig out a point away from home, as they did at Valladolid, but they've also been taken apart on the road at Mallorca and Las Palmas this season.