Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, 10 Oct 2026

Ajax host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Ajax have been picking up wins regularly this season, while NEC have found life much tougher, especially on the road.

The two sides have met countless times down the years, and their most recent meetings were both draws. That's a useful reminder that recent head to head form doesn't always match the bigger picture between these two clubs.

Analysis updated 25 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC.

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Ajax scoring for fun, NEC leaking goals away

Looking across Ajax's last 20 matches in all competitions, they've won 13, drawn four and lost just three, scoring 52 and conceding 26. That's a side finding goals easily at home and in Europe.

What could your bet return?

Ajax to win

Your stake£

Odds1.27

Potential return£25.40Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds5.5

Potential return£110.00Bet Now

NEC Nijmegen to win

Your stake£

Odds9.5

Potential return£190.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Ajax: 20 completed matches; NEC Nijmegen: 20 completed matches.

Ajax

20 matches

Win: 65% 13 / 20
Draw: 20% 4 / 20
Loss: 15% 3 / 20

Scored: 52
Conceded: 26
Difference: +26

NEC Nijmegen

20 matches

Win: 30% 6 / 20
Draw: 20% 4 / 20
Loss: 50% 10 / 20

Scored: 33
Conceded: 37
Difference: -4

Ajax
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Eredivisie	Ajax	Excelsior	19.09.2026	2-2
Eredivisie	Ajax	Willem II	15.09.2026	5-1
Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard	Ajax	12.09.2026	1-5
Eredivisie	Ajax	PSV Eindhoven	05.09.2026	1-3
Eredivisie	Telstar	Ajax	30.08.2026	0-4
UEFA Europa Conference League	Ajax	FC Sion	27.08.2026	5-3
UEFA Europa Conference League	FC Sion	Ajax	20.08.2026	2-4
Eredivisie	Ajax	Heerenveen	16.08.2026	2-2
UEFA Europa Conference League	Shelbourne	Ajax	13.08.2026	2-2
Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle	Ajax	09.08.2026	0-2

NEC Nijmegen
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	GO Ahead Eagles	20.09.2026	1-1
UEFA Europa League	Juventus	NEC Nijmegen	17.09.2026	5-0
Eredivisie	Cambuur	NEC Nijmegen	12.09.2026	3-0
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Excelsior	08.09.2026	2-2
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Feyenoord	05.09.2026	1-3
Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	29.08.2026	1-3
UEFA Champions League	Bodo/Glimt	NEC Nijmegen	25.08.2026	3-0
UEFA Champions League	NEC Nijmegen	Bodo/Glimt	19.08.2026	1-3
Eredivisie	Willem II	NEC Nijmegen	15.08.2026	1-4
UEFA Champions League	NEC Nijmegen	Olympiakos Piraeus	11.08.2026	2-1

NEC's away record over the same stretch reads very differently: six wins, four draws and ten losses, with 37 goals conceded in 20 matches. They've shipped goals in Rotterdam, against Feyenoord, and even against Willem II on the road.

NEC's away form suggests they'll need a big improvement in defensive discipline to trouble Ajax.

Comparative Team Statistics: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Long rivalry, mixed recent results

Ajax have won this fixture heavily in the past, including a 5-0 and a 6-1 among the historic meetings. But the last two encounters both finished level, 1-1 and 2-2.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	21.02.2026	1-1
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	20.12.2025	2-2
Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	11.05.2025	0-3
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	01.12.2024	1-2
Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	18.02.2024	2-2
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	03.12.2023	1-2
Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	05.03.2023	1-0
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	08.01.2023	1-1
Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	23.04.2022	0-1
Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	14.08.2021	5-0

That run of draws is worth noting, even if it sits against a backdrop of Ajax generally dominating this fixture over the years.

League table tells a clear story

Ajax sit fifth after seven games, with four wins, two draws and just one defeat. NEC are down in eleventh, with only two wins from seven and a goal difference already in the red.

№	Team	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF/GA	Points
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15/7	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21/9	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13/14	13

10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11/9	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12/13	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10/17	5

The eight point gap between them roughly matches what we'd expect given how each side has performed domestically so far.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Netherlands Eredivisie match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Goals look likely either way

Ajax's attack has been prolific, and NEC's defence has been generous, so there's a reasonable chance of a goal-heavy afternoon. Ajax's own defence has also had spells of leaking goals, including a 5-3 conceded against Sion in Europe.

NEC have shown they can score too, netting three against Cambuur and Bodo/Glimt this season, so a clean sheet for Ajax isn't guaranteed even if they're expected to win comfortably.

Key player statistics: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Ajax:

Best scorers:

J. Brandt - 4

Best assist providers:

O. Gloukh - 4

K. Dolberg - 3

Penalty cards:

A. Ouazane red card

x 2

D. Klaassen red card

x 2

Y. Baas

x 2

NEC Nijmegen:

Best assist providers:

T. Chery - 2

Penalty cards:

N. Lebreton red card

x 2

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 1.27

Х: 5.5

W2: 9.5

Handicap

Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Handicap (-4): 9.50

Handicap (-3.5): 1.07

Handicap (-3.5): 5.75

Handicap (-3.25): 1.12

Handicap (-3.25): 6.40

Handicap (-3): 1.13

Handicap (-3): 5.90

Handicap (-2.75): 1.21

Handicap (-2.75): 4.25

Handicap (-2.5): 1.27

Handicap (-2.5): 3.55

Handicap (-2.25): 1.32

Handicap (-2.25): 3.30

Handicap (-2): 1.38

Handicap (-2): 3.00

Handicap (-1.75): 1.52

Handicap (-1.75): 2.42

Handicap (-1.5): 1.70

Handicap (-1.5): 2.10

Handicap (-1.25): 1.85

Handicap (-1.25): 1.95

Handicap (-1): 2.10

Handicap (-1): 1.70

Handicap (-0.75): 2.35

Handicap (-0.75): 1.58

Handicap (-0.5): 2.60

Handicap (-0.5): 1.48

Handicap (-0.25): 3.30

Handicap (-0.25): 1.32

Handicap (0): 4.40

Handicap (0): 1.20

Handicap (0.25): 5.00

Handicap (0.25): 1.17

Handicap (0.5): 5.50

Handicap (0.5): 1.15

Handicap (1): 8.60

Handicap (1): 1.03

Handicap (1.5): 9.40

Handicap (1.5): 1.02

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.01

Under (0.5): 29.00

Over (1.5): 1.08

Under (1.5): 8.00

Over (1.75): 1.04

Under (1.75): 6.80

Over (2): 1.06

Under (2): 6.30

Over (2.25): 1.16

Under (2.25): 4.15

Over (2.5): 1.30

Under (2.5): 3.50

Over (2.75): 1.31

Under (2.75): 2.92

Over (3): 1.39

Under (3): 2.62

Over (3.25): 1.58

Under (3.25): 2.17

Over (3.5): 1.73

Under (3.5): 2.00

Over (3.75): 1.93

Under (3.75): 1.74

Over (4): 2.18

Under (4): 1.56

Over (4.25): 2.43

Under (4.25): 1.44

Over (4.5): 2.62

Under (4.5): 1.44

Over (4.75): 3.14

Under (4.75): 1.27

Over (5): 4.00

Under (5): 1.17

Over (5.25): 4.33

Under (5.25): 1.14

Over (5.5): 4.50

Under (5.5): 1.18

Over (6): 7.90

Under (6): 1.02

Over (6.5): 9.00

Under (6.5): 1.07

Over (7.5): 17.00

Under (7.5): 1.02

Over (8.5): 29.00

Under (8.5): 1.01

More odds

Squad and player details

Ajax
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
S. Amrabat	Morocco	30	Midfielder	183	82
M. ter Stegen	Germany	34	Goalkeeper	187	88
T. Kehrer	Germany	30	Defender	186	76
D. Blind	Netherlands	36	Defender	180	72
K. Dolberg	Denmark	28	Attacker	187	80
J. Brandt	Germany	30	Midfielder	185	83
V. Tsygankov	Ukraine	28	Attacker	178	73
Caio Henrique	Brazil	29	Defender	178	68
J. Šutalo	Croatia	26	Defender	185	82
D. Klaassen	Netherlands	33	Midfielder	179	70
O. Wijndal	Netherlands	26	Defender	176	65
S. Berghuis	Netherlands	34	Attacker	182	75
M. Paes	Netherlands	28	Goalkeeper	191	82
K. Itakura	Japan	29	Defender	188	80
Lucas Rosa	Brazil	26	Defender	176	68
T. Arokodare	Nigeria	25	Attacker	197	97
O. Edvardsen	Norway	27	Attacker	175	65
Y. Regeer	Netherlands	23	Midfielder	177	68
Marcos Leonardo	Brazil	23	Attacker	175	84
Y. Baas	Netherlands	23	Defender	182	71

NEC Nijmegen
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
P. Schuurs	Netherlands	26	Defender	191	80
D. Tadić	Serbia	37	Attacker	181	76
P. Sandler	Netherlands	29	Defender	190	82
D. Geiger	Germany	28	Midfielder	173	67
W. Willumsson	Iceland	27	Midfielder	193	84
D. Nejašmić	Croatia	27	Midfielder	183	74
B. Nuytinck	Netherlands	36	Defender	191	80
T. Ouwejan	Netherlands	30	Defender	178	72
V. van Crooij	Netherlands	30	Midfielder	179	76
B. Linssen	Netherlands	35	Attacker	170	64
K. Sierhuis	Netherlands	28	Attacker	180	83
E. Mor	Türkiye	29	Attacker	169 cm	64 kg
T. Chery	Suriname	38	Attacker	170	68
Jamiro Monteiro	Cape Verde	32	Midfielder	172	63
G. Crettaz	Argentina	26	Goalkeeper	184	78
N. Polster	Austria	24	Goalkeeper	187	82
I. Hansen-Aarøen	Norway	22	Midfielder	173	67
B. Pereira	France	23	Defender	172	60
N. Lebreton	France	22	Midfielder	178	70
T. Storm	Denmark	22	Defender	176	n/a

Putting it together, Ajax look the stronger side by a clear distance right now, both in the league table and in the broader run of results. NEC's away form doesn't inspire confidence that they can keep this close.

The recent draws between these two are the obvious counterpoint, so backing Ajax to win by more than a goal carries some risk. Still, the balance of evidence leans firmly towards a home side capable of a comfortable win.