Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form

Lanus have won three in a row through September, including a 3-0 romp away at Deportivo Riestra, but that hides a shakier season overall: nine losses in their last twenty matches and 23 goals conceded in that span.

What could your bet return?

1

Lanus to win

Your stake£

Odds2.2

Potential return

£44.00

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X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds2.88

Potential return

£57.60

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2

Velez Sarsfield to win

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Lanus: 20 completed matches; Velez Sarsfield: 20 completed matches.

Lanus

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

18

Conceded

23

Difference

-5

Velez Sarsfield

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

18

Difference

+9

Velez's record over the same run looks tidier. They've won four, drawn six, and lost none of their last ten games, though a defeat away at Lanus back in March remains their most recent loss anywhere.

Velez's unbeaten run leans heavily on draws, so control hasn't always meant three points.

Comparative Team Statistics: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Head to head

The most recent league meeting in March went Lanus's way, a narrow 1-0 win away from home, and they also beat Velez 2-0 in a Copa Argentina tie back in May last year. Velez's own big result sits in between, a 3-0 home win last August.

Further back Velez have had the better of some heavy scorelines, including a 5-1 and a 4-0 win, but this fixture has swung both ways down the years rather than settling into a clear pattern.

League standings

The table splits into two viewing windows, but Velez come out ahead in both. They're third with 28 points from 16 games, and second with 20 points from a shorter 10-game sample in which they haven't lost.

Lanus sit sixth with 24 points from 16 games, or seventh with 16 points from the shorter sample, having lost four of those ten.

Velez's defensive numbers back up their better position: fewer goals conceded across both samples.

Key contributors

Rodrigo Martínez leads the scoring for Velez with eight goals in 25 appearances, while Damián Valdés and Matías Pellegrini have supplied six and five assists respectively.

Lanus:

Best assist providers:

E. Salvio - 6

Penalty cards:

R. Carrera x 9

Velez Sarsfield:

Best assist providers:

D. Valdés - 6

M. Pellegrini - 5

For Lanus, Diego Aquino has six goals in 20 games and Eduardo Salvio matches Valdés with six assists of his own. Ricardo Carrera has picked up nine yellow cards in 22 matches, though none of them red.

How it might unfold

Velez have scored more than they've conceded across their sample (27 for, 18 against), while Lanus have conceded more than they've scored (23 against, 18 for) despite their recent winning run.

That mix points to a game where goals are likely at both ends, especially with Lanus scoring in each of their last three, even if their defensive record suggests they can be got at too.