Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form hasn't been kind to either side

Looking at the last 20 matches each side has played across all competitions, Cobresal have won five, drawn four and lost eleven, scoring 22 and conceding 34. Universidad de Concepcion's numbers are worse: three wins, four draws and 13 losses, with just 20 scored against 36 let in.

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1

Cobresal to win

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£42.00

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Draw

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£68.00

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2

Universidad de Concepcion to win

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£62.00

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Cobresal: 20 completed matches; Universidad de Concepcion: 20 completed matches.

Cobresal

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

34

Difference

-12

Universidad de Concepcion

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

65% 13 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

36

Difference

-16

Neither sample is pure league form, since both include Copa Chile and Copa De La Liga games, but the pattern is clear enough. Both teams have been leaking goals more often than they'd like.

Cobresal's goal difference is a shade better, but both defences look vulnerable.

Comparative Team Statistics: Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion

The head-to-head has gone against the table

The three most recent meetings, all from earlier this year, actually favour Universidad de Concepcion. They won 1-0 away in April and 2-1 away in March, either side of a 2-1 Cobresal win in May. Older fixtures from 2019 and 2020 are too dated to tell us much about the current sides.

So despite sitting below Cobresal in the standings now, Concepcion have found a way to get results in this fixture recently.

Recent head-to-head form doesn't line up neatly with where these two sit in the table this season.

Not much between them

Cobresal sit 14th with 24 points from 23 games, while Universidad de Concepcion are 15th on 22 points from 22. That's two points and one place in it, so this looks like a genuine relegation-zone six-pointer rather than a mismatch on paper.

Cobresal have the better win tally, seven to six, but both clubs have lost more than half their matches this season. Neither has been able to pull away from trouble.

With so little gap in points, home advantage could be the deciding factor rather than any big quality gap.

Goals up top, cards in midfield

Cobresal's attack is carried by Pino and Brea, with seven and six goals respectively this season, and Carvallo has chipped in five assists. That trio looks like the main source of any home threat.

Cobresal:

Best scorers:

S. Pino - 7

J. Brea - 6

Best assist providers:

B. Carvallo - 5

Penalty cards:

F. Bechtholdt x 1 x 5

S. Pino x 7

Universidad de Concepcion:

Penalty cards:

D. Retamal x 1 x 5

C. Waterman x 1 x 3

C. Mesías x 8

On the discipline side, Concepcion's Mesías and Espejo have picked up a fair few yellows, and both squads have at least one player carrying a red card from earlier in the campaign. It hints at a fixture that could get niggly rather than free-flowing.

Cobresal's front two give them a clearer route to goals than anything visible on Concepcion's side.

A game that could go either way

Concepcion have struggled for goals all season, just 17 in their last 22 league matches, while Cobresal have shipped 44 in 23. On paper that combination points towards chances for the home side. But the recent head-to-head has actually been tight and low-scoring, which cuts against that story a bit.

Given how close both teams are in the table and how patchy their recent form has been, this has the feel of a fixture that could be settled by a single moment rather than any clear pattern of dominance.