Concepción vs Union La Calera Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: contrasting pictures

Concepción have been much the better side across all competitions this year, winning 12 of their last 20 matches and scoring freely along the way. That run includes a 3-0 home win over Universidad Católica and a 2-0 win over O'Higgins, though there's a wrinkle: their last four outings have brought just one win, with a 1-1 draw against Colo Colo and a 1-0 defeat to Audax Italiano mixed in.

What could your bet return?

1

Concepción to win

Your stake£

Odds2.05

Potential return

£41.00

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X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.2

Potential return

£64.00

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2

Union La Calera to win

Your stake£

Odds3.4

Potential return

£68.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Concepción: 20 completed matches; Union La Calera: 20 completed matches.

Concepción

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

17

Difference

+15

Union La Calera

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

22

Difference

+2

La Calera's record over the same stretch is shakier. Six wins, seven draws and seven defeats from their last 20 games, with 40 goals conceded across the league season pointing to a leaky defence. They did beat Ñublense and thrash Cobresal 4-0 on the road, but they've also shipped four without reply against Santiago Wanderers in the Copa Chile.

Concepción's underlying form is stronger, though it's cooled a touch heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Concepción vs Union La Calera

Just the one meeting so far

These sides have only met once this season on record, back in April, when La Calera won 1-0 as the home side. That result doesn't tell us a great deal about this reverse fixture, especially with the venue now flipped and both teams' form having shifted since then.

The table backs Concepción

Concepción sit 8th in the Chile Primera División with 31 points from 23 games, nine wins and ten defeats along the way. La Calera are down in 16th on 17 points from the same number of matches, with only four wins all season. The 14-point gap lines up with the gap in performances so far.

Concepción's goal difference is only slightly negative, 25 for and 26 against, while La Calera have conceded 40 in the league. That's easily the more worrying number of the two.

That defensive record for La Calera is the headline concern travelling into this game.

Goals, assists and cards worth knowing

Sergio Sáez has been La Calera's main outlet in front of goal, with eight in 18 appearances, while Kevin Méndez has created plenty too, setting up eight assists this season. For Concepción, Javier Larrivey leads the way with seven goals in 19 games.

Concepción:

Best scorers:

J. Larrivey - 7

Penalty cards:

D. Carrasco x 2 x 2

J. Larrivey x 2 x 2

F. Grillo x 1 x 5

Union La Calera:

Best scorers:

S. Sáez - 8

Best assist providers:

K. Méndez - 8

Penalty cards:

C. Moya x 1 x 4

D. Gutiérrez x 8

Discipline could matter as well. La Calera's Diego Gutiérrez has picked up eight yellow cards in 18 outings, while Concepción's Diego Carrasco has already seen two reds in just ten appearances, and both Larrivey and Franco Grillo have also been sent off this season.

How this one could play out

Concepción have the platform to control this at home, given their overall form and league position, but their recent dip and La Calera's earlier win in this fixture suggest it won't be entirely one-way. La Calera's away form has been patchy rather than poor, so if their attack turns up they can trouble a Concepción side that has had its own defensive lapses this season.