Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form

Over their last 20 matches across competitions, Cruzeiro have won 10, drawn 4 and lost 6, scoring 32 and conceding 22. That's a healthy return and suggests a side in decent nick heading into this one.

What could your bet return?

1

Cruzeiro to win

Your stake£

Odds1.85

Potential return

£37.00

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X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.3

Potential return

£66.00

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2

Sao Paulo to win

Your stake£

Odds4.1

Potential return

£82.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Cruzeiro: 20 completed matches; Sao Paulo: 20 completed matches.

Cruzeiro

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

22

Difference

+10

Sao Paulo

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

25

Difference

-3

Sao Paulo's equivalent record reads 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses from 20, with 22 scored and 25 conceded. They've been more inconsistent, losing nearly half their matches in that stretch.

Cruzeiro's win rate over the last 20 matches is roughly double Sao Paulo's.

Comparative Team Statistics: Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

Head-to-head record

There's a long history between these two, with 20 recorded meetings stretching back over a decade. The results are fairly mixed overall, with wins shared and a handful of draws mixed in.

The most recent meeting at this same ground, played in August 2025, went Cruzeiro's way 1-0. Their other recent meeting, in April 2026, was a heavy 4-1 win for Sao Paulo, though that came at Sao Paulo's own ground rather than here.

Recent history at Cruzeiro's home leans slightly in their favour.

Where they sit in the table

Cruzeiro are sixth with 45 points from 28 games, having won 13, drawn 6 and lost 9. Sao Paulo are down in 11th with 36 points from 27 games, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 11.

That's a nine-point gap despite Cruzeiro having played just one more match, which lines up with the form numbers above.

Cruzeiro are the clearly higher-placed side this campaign.

Players and fitness notes

Matheus Pereira has been Cruzeiro's standout performer, leading the way with 9 goals and 4 assists in 25 appearances, though he's also picked up 9 yellow cards this season. For Sao Paulo, Luciano and Calleri have both chipped in with 8 goals apiece.

Cruzeiro:

Best scorers:

Matheus Pereira - 9

Best assist providers:

Matheus Pereira - 4

K. Arroyo - 4

Penalty cards:

Matheus Pereira x 9

Fabrício Bruno x 8

Injury list:

L. Villalba

L. Sinisterra

Sao Paulo:

Best scorers:

Luciano - 8

J. Calleri - 8

Injury list:

Andre Silva

Lucca Marques

On the fitness side, Cruzeiro have questions over L. Villalba and L. Sinisterra, both listed as questionable. Sao Paulo have similar concerns with Andre Silva and Lucca Marques, though none of these entries confirm they'll definitely miss out.

How the goals might come

Cruzeiro have been scoring at a rate of around 1.6 goals per match over their last 20 outings while conceding just over one, a solid balance. Sao Paulo's numbers are more even at both ends, scoring and conceding at a slightly lower but tighter rate.

That points to a match where Cruzeiro's attack should have chances, but Sao Paulo haven't been especially leaky either, so it may not turn into a rout.