Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form for both sides

Newcastle's last twenty matches across all competitions show a fairly even split, with league wins over sides like Leeds and Hull mixed in among a cup exit to lower-division opposition. It's a squad capable of decent runs domestically even when the wider schedule gets busy.

What could your bet return?

1

Newcastle to win

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Odds2.05

Potential return

£41.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.7

Potential return

£74.00

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2

Aston Villa to win

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Odds3.2

Potential return

£64.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Newcastle: 20 completed matches; Aston Villa: 20 completed matches.

Newcastle

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

31

Difference

0

Aston Villa

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

32

Difference

+8

Villa's recent sample covers a heavier mix too, including Champions League and Super Cup football against strong opposition. In the Premier League specifically they've lost more than they've won this season, though that away win at Tottenham is a reminder they can still trouble anyone on their day.

Comparative Team Statistics: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Head-to-head

These two have met plenty of times down the years, with results swinging both ways depending on the season. The most recent Premier League meeting came at Newcastle back in January, when the home side won 2-0.

Villa did win the reverse FA Cup tie the following month, but that's a different competition and doesn't tell us much about current league form.

History leans slightly towards Newcastle at home, though it's no guarantee for a match played months later with different form lines.

League table gap

Newcastle sit ninth in the Premier League after five games, with eight points from two wins, two draws and a loss. Villa are down in sixteenth, having managed just one win in the same number of matches.

That's a notable early gap between two clubs plenty of people would expect to be closer together in the table.

The table suggests Newcastle should have the platform to control this fixture, even this early in the season.

Players to watch

Joe Willock has been Newcastle's most productive attacker recently, with a couple of goals in his last five outings, while Harry Barnes has chipped in assists from midfield.

Newcastle:

Best scorers:

J. Willock - 2

Best assist providers:

H. Barnes - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Murphy x 3

Y. Wissa x 2

Aston Villa:

Best assist providers:

J. McGinn - 2

Penalty cards:

João Gomes x 1 x 1

J. McGinn x 2

For Villa, John McGinn remains their main creative outlet, matching Barnes' assist tally over the same stretch. João Gomes has picked up a red card in his last two appearances, a disciplinary note worth watching if he features here.

A costly card for Villa's midfield could add to their defensive problems if something similar happens in this game.

How it could play out

Put the pieces together and this looks like a game where goals are likely at both ends. Newcastle have scored and conceded almost identical totals in the league this season, and Villa's recent away form has produced goals too, including that 3-2 defeat at Tottenham and a heavier win on the road earlier in the year.

Villa's inconsistency going forward, though, means Newcastle's home platform and superior league position could still be enough to see them come out on top.