Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Form check: Madrid's dip, Villarreal's mini-revival

Real Madrid sit fourth in La Liga with 15 points from seven games, but the last month hasn't been entirely smooth. They've lost two of their last three league outings, going down 0-1 at Real Betis and 1-2 away at Atletico Madrid, either side of a 3-2 win at Elche. Before that they were blowing teams away, with 4-0, 4-1 and 4-1 wins over Malaga, Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano.

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1

Real Madrid to win

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Odds1.25

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£25.00

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X

Draw

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Odds6.25

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£125.00

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2

Villarreal to win

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Odds8.5

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Real Madrid: 20 completed matches; Villarreal: 20 completed matches.

Real Madrid

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

44

Conceded

19

Difference

+25

Villarreal

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

39

Conceded

31

Difference

+8

Villarreal's season looks rougher on paper, ninth with eight points from seven, but the shape of their form is turning. After three straight defeats and a couple of draws, they've won their last two matches, beating Malaga 3-1 away and Levante 3-1 at home.

Madrid's recent wobble and Villarreal's late upturn narrow the gap in current momentum, even if the table still favours the hosts.

Comparative Team Statistics: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Head-to-head: Madrid have had the upper hand lately

Real Madrid have won five of the last six meetings with Villarreal, including a 3-1 away win in October 2025 and a 2-0 home win back in January this year. Villarreal's only real success in that stretch was a wild 4-4 draw a couple of seasons ago, which showed they can score against Madrid even when the result doesn't go their way.

Go back further and there are tighter, scrappier results too, so it's not been one-way traffic across the full history. But the recent trend is clearly in Madrid's favour.

Where they sit

Real Madrid are fourth with a goal difference of plus ten in the league, having scored 18 and conceded just 8 in seven matches. Villarreal are ninth, with 13 scored and 12 conceded, a much tighter defensive record than an attacking one.

Players doing the damage

Kylian Mbappé has been in outrageous form for Madrid, with seven goals in seven matches, and Jude Bellingham has chipped in three goals and two assists alongside him. For Villarreal, Pablo Gueye has three goals and Alberto Moleiro has been busy at both ends with two goals and three assists.

Real Madrid:

Best scorers:

Kylian Mbappé - 7

J. Bellingham - 3

Best assist providers:

Vinícius Júnior - 3

Kylian Mbappé - 2

J. Bellingham - 2

Penalty cards:

D. Huijsen x 1

Villarreal:

Best scorers:

P. Gueye - 3

Alberto Moleiro - 2

Best assist providers:

Alberto Moleiro - 3

Ayoze Pérez - 2

On the disciplinary side, Ibrahima Konaté has picked up three yellow cards for Madrid and Dean Huijsen has already seen red once this season, which is worth keeping an eye on given how often he's needed against sharp attackers.

How this one might play out

Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently. Madrid's league matches have produced plenty of goals at both ends of their own scoreline, and Villarreal have leaked 12 in seven games while still finding the net themselves. The h2h history backs that up too, with several four and five-goal matches over the years.

That points toward an open game rather than a cagey one, even with Madrid clearly the stronger side on paper.