Zambia vs Burundi Prediction

Form going into this one

Zambia's record over their last 16 matches reads four wins, four draws and eight losses, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. That's a fair few goals leaking at the back, even allowing for some tough opposition in there, including Morocco and Ivory Coast.

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1

Zambia to win

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Draw

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Odds3.81

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2

Burundi to win

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Odds7.75

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Zambia: 16 completed matches; Burundi: 9 completed matches.

Zambia

16 matches

Win

25% 4 / 16

Draw

25% 4 / 16

Loss

50% 8 / 16

Scored

14

Conceded

30

Difference

-16

Burundi

9 matches

Win

22.2% 2 / 9

Draw

22.2% 2 / 9

Loss

55.6% 5 / 9

Scored

5

Conceded

16

Difference

-11

Burundi's away sample is smaller but rougher: two wins, two draws and five losses from nine games, with just five goals scored and 16 conceded. They've struggled to score consistently against sides like Senegal and Burkina Faso.

Neither side's recent record points to a tight, settled defence.

Comparative Team Statistics: Zambia vs Burundi

Head-to-head history

The only previous meetings on record came back in December 2013 at the CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup, where Zambia won 1-0 and then drew 0-0 with Burundi.

That's over a decade old and from a different competition, so it doesn't tell us much about how either team lines up now.

Where they sit in the group

Zambia have three points from two games, sitting second, while Burundi have one point from two games in fourth. Zambia have scored three and conceded three; Burundi have scored two and conceded three.

It's a small sample from early in the group stage, and this table only reflects these two teams, not the full picture of who else is involved.

Zambia have the better start, but there's not much in it on goal difference.

Player notes

The data we have is limited to one entry: David Simukonda of Zambia with a single assist from one match. It's not enough to draw conclusions about Zambia's wider attacking threat or who else might feature.

Zambia:

Best assist providers:

David Simukonda - 1

How it might play out

Zambia's defence has shipped goals regularly in recent matches, which could offer Burundi something to work with if they can find any attacking rhythm. But Burundi's own goal return has been thin, so it's not obvious they'll take that chance.

Given both teams' shaky recent numbers, this has the look of a game that could go either way rather than a clear mismatch.