Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction

Form guide: a big gap in results

Montenegro's recent sample reads six wins, three draws and just one defeat from ten matches, with eighteen goals scored along the way. They've shown they can score goals, even if twelve conceded in that spell shows the defence isn't watertight.

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1

Montenegro to win

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£26.20

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Draw

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Odds4.79

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2

Latvia to win

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Odds8.75

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Montenegro: 10 completed matches; Latvia: 8 completed matches.

Montenegro

10 matches

Win

60% 6 / 10

Draw

30% 3 / 10

Loss

10% 1 / 10

Scored

18

Conceded

12

Difference

+6

Latvia

8 matches

Win

0% 0 / 8

Draw

50% 4 / 8

Loss

50% 4 / 8

Scored

3

Conceded

8

Difference

-5

Latvia's numbers are rough by comparison. No wins in eight games, four draws, four losses, and only three goals scored across the whole sample. They've struggled to create or convert chances in recent months.

Montenegro go into this with far more momentum behind them.

Comparative Team Statistics: Montenegro vs Latvia

An immediate rematch

These two only played each other a few weeks before this preview was written, with Montenegro winning 2-1 away at Latvia in the Nations League. It's the most recent data point we have and it lines up with the form gap.

Further back, the record is more even. A 2021 World Cup qualifier finished goalless in Montenegro, and an earlier qualifier in Latvia went Montenegro's way. A 2020 friendly was drawn. So Montenegro haven't lost to Latvia in any of these recorded meetings, but it hasn't always been one-sided.

Team news is limited

There isn't much to go on here. The only player note we have is Nikola Krstović picking up an assist for Montenegro in his most recent appearance, which doesn't tell us much about the wider squad.

Montenegro:

Best assist providers:

N. Krstović - 1

We don't have confirmed team news for either side this far out, so it's worth treating any lineup assumptions with caution.

What might play out

Montenegro's attacking numbers suggest they'll look to get at Latvia early, and Latvia's defensive record this year gives them every reason to try. Eighteen goals scored by Montenegro against just three scored by Latvia is a wide gap.

At the same time, Latvia have drawn four of their last eight, so there's a pattern of them staying in games even without winning. That could keep this tighter than the underlying form difference implies.