Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

Sweden's firepower against Bosnia's steadier recent run

Sweden have won 7 of their last 14 matches, drawn 3 and lost 4, scoring 28 and conceding 23 along the way. Their Nations League form in this group has been strong, with home wins over Poland and Romania either side of that 1-1 draw at Bosnia, though the World Cup sample was patchier, including defeats to France and the Netherlands.

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1

Sweden to win

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Draw

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2

Bosnia & Herzegovina to win

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Sweden: 14 completed matches; Bosnia & Herzegovina: 12 completed matches.

Sweden

14 matches

Win

50% 7 / 14

Draw

21.4% 3 / 14

Loss

28.6% 4 / 14

Scored

28

Conceded

23

Difference

+5

Bosnia & Herzegovina

12 matches

Win

33.3% 4 / 12

Draw

41.7% 5 / 12

Loss

25% 3 / 12

Scored

17

Conceded

15

Difference

+2

Bosnia's numbers look tighter: 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from their last 12 games, with 17 scored and 15 conceded. They've actually been unbeaten in their last four Nations League outings, beating Poland at home and Romania away either side of draws with Sweden and Poland again.

Both sides arrive on decent Nations League form, even if their wider recent samples tell slightly different stories.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Just the one meeting so far, and it finished level

These two have met just once recently, on 2 October 2026, when Bosnia held Sweden to a 1-1 draw on home soil. It's the only head-to-head fixture in the data, so there isn't a long history to lean on here.

A draw last time out suggests Bosnia won't simply roll over again.

A couple of Bosnia names picking up cards

The only player detail available concerns discipline: Z. Smajlović and A. Memić have each picked up a yellow card in Bosnia's recent matches. It's a small sample rather than a full squad list, so it doesn't tell us much about who's actually available for this fixture.

Bosnia & Herzegovina:

Penalty cards:

Z. Smajlović x 1

A. Memić x 1

Goals have flowed, but not every time

Sweden's matches have been high scoring overall, averaging well over three goals a game across their last 14 fixtures. Bosnia's games have been a touch tighter, closer to two and a half goals on average.

Yet when these two actually played each other, it finished 1-1, a low-scoring night by recent standards for both sides. That contrast makes the goals markets harder to call with real confidence.