Haiti vs USA Prediction

Recent form: two different stories

The USA have won 12 of their last 20 matches and scored 42 goals in that span, including four straight wins in October 2026 against Canada, Mexico, Chile and Peru. There have been bumps too, with defeats to Belgium and Portugal during a run that looks like it included a World Cup campaign, but the attacking numbers stand out.

Haiti: 20 completed matches; USA: 20 completed matches.

Haiti

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

27

Difference

+1

USA

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

42

Conceded

30

Difference

+12

Haiti's record across the same 20-match sample reads 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, a more uneven picture. Their last four results, though, show three wins against Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago and the Dominican Republic, so there are signs they're picking up form heading into this one.

USA's goalscoring has been the most consistent thread in their recent matches.

Head-to-head: USA have had the better of it

All three recorded meetings between these sides went the USA's way, 1-0 in 2015, 1-0 again in 2021, and 2-1 in this year's Gold Cup. Every one of those games was played in the United States, which makes the history interesting but not a perfect guide for a match hosted by Haiti instead.

Three games is a small sample, and the change of venue here is a genuine unknown.

Team news: not much to go on yet

The player data here is thin. Haiti's W. Isidor shows a goal and two assists, though that's drawn from just a single match in the sample, and J. Bellegarde picked up a yellow card in the same game. There's nothing here on the USA side, and a month out from kickoff there's no way to say who'll actually be involved.

Haiti:

Best scorers:

W. Isidor - 1

Best assist providers:

W. Isidor - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Bellegarde x 1

How this one could play out

Put the pieces together and it's a bit of a puzzle. The USA score goals for fun but have also shipped 30 in 20 matches, including heavy defeats, so they're not watertight at the back. Haiti have shown they can be competitive in recent matches, and a front player like Isidor offers something going forward, even working from limited data.

The history favours the USA, but that history was built entirely away from Haiti. With the venue changing and both teams showing some inconsistency, this doesn't look like a one-sided contest on the evidence available.