Almeria vs Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips

Form: Almeria's home strength against Oviedo's mixed run

Almeria have won four of their last six Segunda División matches, including three of their last four at home. They've been scoring freely too, netting ten goals across their six league games so far this season.

Almeria: 20 completed matches; Oviedo: 20 completed matches.

Almeria

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

19

Difference

+10

Oviedo

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

20

Difference

-1

Oviedo's form is harder to pin down. They've taken two wins, two draws and two defeats in their six Segunda matches, with narrow scorelines either way. Before that they were competing in La Liga, so there's still an adjustment period to factor in.

Almeria's consistency at home gives them a platform Oviedo haven't matched away from home this season.

Comparative Team Statistics: Almeria vs Oviedo

Head-to-head: a fixture that's rarely straightforward

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and the last three meetings have all been decided by a single goal or ended level. Draws and narrow 1-1 or 1-2 scorelines have been common, suggesting neither side finds it easy against the other.

Further back there's more variety, including some heavier wins for both sides, but the recent pattern points to tight, competitive games rather than one team dominating.

History suggests few free-flowing wins between these two.

Where they stand early this season

Almeria sit fourth with 12 points from six games, while Oviedo are down in 13th with eight points from the same number of matches. That's a five-point gap already, with Almeria averaging over a goal and a half more per game than Oviedo.

It's worth remembering this snapshot is from late September, a month before this fixture, so both tables could look a bit different by kickoff.

Players to watch and discipline notes

Almeria's attack has been shared around, with Javi Muñoz and Nico Melamed both scoring twice in limited appearances, and Muñoz chipping in with assists too. Cipenga has been the main creative outlet with three assists from six games.

Almeria:

Best scorers:

Javi Muñoz - 2

Best assist providers:

B. Cipenga - 3

Javi Muñoz - 2

Penalty cards:

Quim Junyent x 1 x 1

Oviedo:

Penalty cards:

Aritz Aldasoro x 1

Y. Didi x 3

For Oviedo, the numbers we have lean more towards discipline than goals. Aritz Aldasoro has already picked up a red card in just three appearances, while Didi and Ișfan have both been booked more than once. It hints at a squad that's had its share of disruption this season.

How this one could play out

Almeria's home form and their place in the top four make them the side with more control heading into this game. Oviedo's mixed results, plus the step down from La Liga, add some uncertainty about how they'll cope on the road.

Given how tight the head-to-head has been in recent years, though, it wouldn't be a shock if Oviedo made this awkward for the hosts rather than a comfortable afternoon.