Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: clean sheets against goals at both ends

Palmeiras' last 20 matches show 10 wins, 6 draws and just 4 losses, with 35 scored and only 16 conceded. A lot of those recent games have been low-scoring too, including three separate 0-0 draws in their last six outings across competitions.

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1

Palmeiras to win

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Odds1.57

Potential return

£31.40

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X

Draw

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Odds3.9

Potential return

£78.00

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2

Bahia to win

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Odds5.5

Potential return

£110.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Palmeiras: 20 completed matches; Bahia: 20 completed matches.

Palmeiras

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

35

Conceded

16

Difference

+19

Bahia

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

28

Difference

+5

Bahia's away sample is more open. Seven wins, eight draws and five losses from 20, with 33 scored but 28 conceded. They've drawn a lot on the road and rarely kept things tight, with several 2-1 and 3-3 type scorelines in there.

Palmeiras' defensive solidity contrasts with Bahia's tendency to be involved in games where both sides score.

Comparative Team Statistics: Palmeiras vs Bahia

Head-to-head: no clear pattern

These two have met plenty of times down the years and the head-to-head doesn't lean strongly either way recently. Palmeiras won away in April 2026, but Bahia won the home fixture back in September 2025, and Palmeiras edged it at home in April 2025 before that.

Go back further and it's a similar story, wins swapping between the two sides across different seasons and competitions. It's not a fixture where recent history gives a strong signal.

League standings: a real gap has opened up

Palmeiras sit second with 57 points from 28 games, built on 16 wins and just 21 goals conceded. Bahia are fifth on 46 points, with 12 wins and 35 conceded from the same number of matches.

That's an 11-point gap and a notably worse defensive record for Bahia. It lines up with what the recent form shows too.

The table backs up Palmeiras as clear favourites on current league position.

Team news: fitness doubts on both sides

Bahia have a few names to watch, with David Duarte, Everton Ribeiro and Caio Alexandre all listed as questionable through injury. None of that confirms they'll definitely miss out, but it's worth keeping an eye on.

Palmeiras:

Best scorers:

J. López - 8

Maurício - 7

Best assist providers:

Andreas Pereira - 10

J. López - 4

Injury list:

Mauricio

Vitor Roque

Bahia:

Best scorers:

Luciano Juba - 9

Penalty cards:

N. Acevedo x 8

Injury list:

David Duarte

Everton Ribeiro

Caio Alexandre

Palmeiras also have Mauricio and Vitor Roque marked as questionable and inactive. Andreas Pereira has been heavily involved in the creative side of their play with 10 assists in 27 matches, so his involvement matters if Palmeiras are to convert territory into goals.