Botswana vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips

Form in very different company

Tunisia's last 20 matches make for grim reading on the surface: four wins, ten defeats and 37 goals conceded. Look closer though and a chunk of that comes from World Cup group games against Netherlands, Japan and Sweden, plus friendlies with Belgium and Brazil. Losing heavily to that level of opposition doesn't tell us much about how they'll fare in an African qualifier.

What could your bet return?

1

Botswana to win

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Odds1.17

Potential return

£23.40

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Draw

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Odds5.5

Potential return

£110.00

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2

Tunisia to win

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Odds15

Potential return

£300.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Botswana: 14 completed matches; Tunisia: 20 completed matches.

Botswana

14 matches

Win

21.4% 3 / 14

Draw

35.7% 5 / 14

Loss

42.9% 6 / 14

Scored

9

Conceded

21

Difference

-12

Tunisia

20 matches

Win

20% 4 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

37

Difference

-17

Botswana's own sample of 14 games shows three wins, five draws and six losses, with only nine goals scored. It's a modest return, and their goals-against tally of 21 suggests they've been breached fairly regularly too, including some AFCON tournament games against stronger continental sides.

Neither team's wider form sample maps cleanly onto a qualifier between two similarly ranked African sides.

Comparative Team Statistics: Botswana vs Tunisia

A short and slightly dated history

These two have only met twice in recent memory, both in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Tunisia won 3-0 at home in 2023, while the previous meeting in Botswana back in 2022 finished goalless.

That's a small sample and a few years old now, so it can only offer light context rather than a strong pointer to how this next meeting goes.

Both second, but not identical pictures

Tunisia sit second in their group with 10 points from six games, three wins, a draw and two losses, scoring seven and conceding six. Botswana are also second, but from five games, with seven points, two wins, a draw and two losses, three goals for and six against.

Tunisia's points-per-game rate is slightly ahead of Botswana's, and they've scored more too, though both records include the same number of losses.

Tunisia's qualifying form looks a touch healthier than their bruising World Cup and friendly results might suggest.

How this one could play out

Botswana get home advantage, and their qualifying record shows they're capable of staying competitive without scoring freely. Tunisia's qualifying numbers are decent, but their most recent run of fixtures has been against much tougher opposition than they'll face here, so it's hard to read too much into those heavier defeats.

With both teams's goal tallies in qualifying fairly low, a tight, low-scoring contest looks a reasonable expectation, though neither side's data points strongly to a one-sided outcome.

Key player statistics: Botswana vs Tunisia

Tunisia:

Best assist providers:

K. Ayari - 1