Monza vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips

Form heading into the match

Cagliari have won four of their last five Serie A matches, including away wins at Udinese and Atalanta plus a home win over Lecce. Their only blemish in that run was a narrow home defeat to Inter, and they've conceded just twice in five league games.

Monza: 20 completed matches; Cagliari: 20 completed matches.

Monza

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

31

Difference

+7

Cagliari

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

18

Difference

+1

Monza's picture is a lot messier. They beat Sassuolo at home but then lost to Lecce, Udinese and Inter, with a draw against Parma sandwiched in between. That's brought twelve goals against in five matches, a clear sign of defensive trouble.

Cagliari's defensive solidity stands out sharply against Monza's leaky back line.

Comparative Team Statistics: Monza vs Cagliari

Head-to-head record

The last four meetings between these two have gone in different directions. Cagliari won 3-0 at home in March 2025 and followed it with a 2-1 away win earlier that same season. Before that, Monza won 1-0 in March 2024, and the sides drew 1-1 back in November 2023.

That gives Cagliari the better recent record, though these results span different seasons and squads, so they tell us more about history than about current form.

Where they sit in the table

Cagliari are fourth in Serie A with twelve points from five games, while Monza are down in sixteenth with just four points from the same number of matches. That's an eight-point gap already opened up in the early weeks of the season.

It's early days, but the table already mirrors the gap in form between these two sides.

Players to watch

Individually, both sides have players finding the net. Gustavo Varela has four goals in four Monza appearances, a rare bright spot for a struggling side, while D. Maldini has three in five for Cagliari. Assists have been shared around too, with Ricardo Mangas and S. Birindelli chipping in for Monza and M. Adopo doing the same for Cagliari.

There's also a bit of card trouble worth flagging, with L. Lucchesi, E. Kouadio and A. Deiola all already on two yellows apiece in five appearances, so discipline could come into it if the game gets tense.

Goals look likely at both ends, though Monza's defensive record raises the risk of conceding again.

Key player statistics: Monza vs Cagliari

Monza:

Best scorers:

Gustavo Varela - 4

Best assist providers:

Ricardo Mangas - 2

S. Birindelli - 2

Penalty cards:

L. Lucchesi x 2

E. Kouadio x 2

Cagliari:

Best scorers:

D. Maldini - 3

Best assist providers:

M. Adopo - 2

Penalty cards:

A. Deiola x 2