Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan Prediction

Contrasting runs of form

Union St. Gilloise have won 14 of their last 20 matches across all competitions, scoring 58 goals in that spell. That's a side finding the net often, home or away, against a mixed bag of opposition.

Union St. Gilloise: 20 completed matches; Lech Poznan: 20 completed matches.

Union St. Gilloise

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

58

Conceded

22

Difference

+36

Lech Poznan

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

47

Conceded

26

Difference

+21

Lech Poznan's overall record isn't bad either, 12 wins from 20, but the shape of it is different. They've smashed domestic sides like Korona Kielce 6-1 and Radomiak Radom 5-1, yet in Europe they've shipped four goals twice, to Bayer Leverkusen and away at Crystal Palace.

Union's form looks more consistent across the board, while Lech blow hot and cold depending on the competition.

Comparative Team Statistics: Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan

Where they sit in the league phase

The early Europa League league phase table tells its own story. Union sit 12th with four points from two games, having won one and drawn one.

Lech are down in 36th with nothing to show from their two matches, conceding eight goals without scoring once. That's a rough start in this specific competition, even if their domestic form elsewhere has been fine.

Lech need a response in Europe specifically, regardless of how they're doing in the Ekstraklasa.

A disciplinary flag for Lech

One name worth watching is R. Murawski, who's picked up three yellow cards and a red in his last five matches for Lech Poznan. That's a lot of cards in a short run.

Lech Poznan:

Penalty cards:

R. Murawski x 1 x 3

It doesn't confirm he'll be out for this one, since the fixture is weeks away, but it's the kind of pattern that can affect team shape if he's on a card already come matchday.

How this might play out

Union have scored goals for fun lately, including a 4-0 win over Hapoel Beer Sheva in their last Europa League outing. If that continues, Lech's leaky European defence could be tested again.

But Lech have shown in the Ekstraklasa they can score heavily when things click, so it's not as if they're toothless everywhere. The question is whether that form travels into a European night against a side playing with confidence.