Stoke City vs Millwall Prediction

Recent Form

Stoke have had a decent season overall, with eight wins from twenty matches across all competitions, but the last month has been shaky. Three defeats in their last four Championship games, including a home loss to Middlesbrough, show some cracks.

Stoke City: 20 completed matches; Millwall: 20 completed matches.

Stoke City

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

25

Difference

0

Millwall

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

26

Difference

-1

Millwall's form has been just as patchy. They've won seven of their twenty games in all competitions this term, and their recent league results have brought a win, a draw and two defeats, including a loss away at Portsmouth.

Neither side arrives with real momentum, which makes the recent head-to-head trend worth a look.

Comparative Team Statistics: Stoke City vs Millwall

Head-to-Head

Stoke and Millwall have faced off regularly over the years, and the long-run record is fairly even. What stands out is the recent trend though: Millwall have won the last three meetings between these two, including a 3-1 win at Stoke back in April.

Before that run, several of these fixtures ended in draws, so it's not a case of one side dominating forever. It's just that Millwall have had the better of it lately.

League Positions

Stoke sit sixth in the Championship with 19 points from 11 games, built on six wins, one draw and four losses. Millwall are down in 12th on 15 points, with four wins, three draws and four defeats from the same number of matches.

The gap is only four points, so Stoke's position looks a bit better than dominant once you factor in how close both sides actually are.

Players to Watch

Millwall's L. Dykes has been their most productive player, with four goals in eight appearances. Stoke's E. Galbraith leads their scoring with three in the same number of games, though he's also picked up four yellow cards in that spell, so discipline could be a factor.

Stoke City:

Best scorers:

E. Galbraith - 3

Best assist providers:

E. Bocat - 2

Penalty cards:

S. Ingelsson x 1 x 1

E. Galbraith x 4

Millwall:

Best scorers:

L. Dykes - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Neghli - 2

Jenson Metcalfe - 2

Penalty cards:

Jenson Metcalfe x 1 x 3

In terms of creativity, Stoke's E. Bocat and Millwall's C. Neghli and Jenson Metcalfe have each chipped in two assists. Metcalfe's also collected three yellows and a red in his last eight matches, so he'll need to be careful if he features.

How This Could Play Out

Stoke's home form this season has had its wobbles, and Millwall come into this having won their last three visits to Stoke in the league. That recent head-to-head trend sits a bit oddly with Stoke's higher position in the table right now.

With both teams blowing hot and cold in their recent matches, this looks more like a tight, unpredictable contest than a one-sided affair.