Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Recent form backs up the table

Gladbach's domestic form has been miserable: a 5-0 defeat to Freiburg, a 3-0 loss at Leipzig, and narrow losses to Mainz, Elversberg, Köln and Hoffenheim have left them without a league win. Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home defeat to Hoffenheim.

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1

Borussia Monchengladbach to win

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Draw

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Borussia Dortmund to win

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Borussia Monchengladbach: 20 completed matches; Borussia Dortmund: 20 completed matches.

Borussia Monchengladbach

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

51

Conceded

33

Difference

+18

Borussia Dortmund

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

22

Difference

+16

Dortmund, meanwhile, haven't lost in the Bundesliga this season. Four wins and two draws, including a 3-0 win over Paderborn and a 2-0 home win over Hamburger SV, point to a side finding its rhythm, even if a couple of draws show they're not winning every week by a distance.

Gladbach will need a big turnaround to disrupt that momentum.

Comparative Team Statistics: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund

History leans towards the visitors

Over the years the head-to-head record tips heavily towards Dortmund, with some big scorelines along the way, including 6-1 and 6-0 wins. More recently though, Gladbach won the last meeting 1-0 back in May, showing they can still cause problems on their day.

That result came before this current slump though, so it doesn't tell us much about where either side stands right now.

Table tells a stark story

Dortmund currently sit second in the Bundesliga with 14 points from six games, having won four and drawn two without losing. Gladbach, by contrast, are bottom of the pile with six defeats from six and not a single point on the board.

That's as wide a gap as you'll see between two sides in the same division this season.

A gap like this between league rivals doesn't come around often.

Key men and discipline

Serhou Guirassy and Felix Nmecha have each scored twice in Dortmund's last four matches, giving them more than one route to goal. Félix Honorat has chipped in with assists for Gladbach, so their final ball hasn't been the only issue this season.

Borussia Monchengladbach:

Best assist providers:

F. Honorat - 2

Penalty cards:

T. Kleindienst x 1 x 1

K. Diks x 2

Borussia Dortmund:

Best scorers:

S. Guirassy - 2

F. Nmecha - 2

Best assist providers:

S. Guirassy - 2

Penalty cards:

S. Inacio x 1

J. Bellingham x 2

J. Ryerson x 2

On the discipline side, Jude Bellingham and Julian Ryerson have each picked up two yellow cards recently for Dortmund, while Gladbach's Kevin Diks has the same tally. Dortmund's Inacio also picked up a straight red in one recent outing, a reminder that this one could get feisty.

What might shape the game

Given the table and the form guide, Dortmund will arrive as clear favourites. Gladbach's home record and leaky defence this season suggest goals could be hard to keep out either way.

That said, this fixture sits a month beyond the data we have here, so Gladbach have time to find some form before kickoff. A struggling side at home can sometimes raise its game against a team riding high.

Expect goals, but treat any assumption of an easy away win with some caution.