Swindon Town vs Grimsby Prediction

Two teams heading in the wrong direction

Swindon strung together four straight League Two wins in August and September, but the wheels have come off a bit since then. Their last three league games have brought a loss, a draw and another loss, including a home defeat to Crewe in their most recent outing.

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1

Swindon Town to win

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Odds2.9

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£58.00

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Draw

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Odds3.6

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£72.00

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2

Grimsby to win

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Odds2.15

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Swindon Town: 20 completed matches; Grimsby: 20 completed matches.

Swindon Town

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

29

Difference

-4

Grimsby

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

25

Difference

+6

Grimsby's dip is even sharper on paper. They also had a decent run through August and September, but they've now lost three league matches in a row heading into this one, including a defeat at Port Vale.

Both sides arrive out of form, which makes it harder to lean on recent results alone.

Comparative Team Statistics: Swindon Town vs Grimsby

A fixture that swings both ways

These two have traded big results over the years. Swindon have had some comfortable wins in this fixture historically, including a 5-0 and a 3-0, but Grimsby have hit back with heavy wins of their own, most recently a 4-0 away win back in April.

The meeting before that finished 2-2 at Swindon, so there's no obvious pattern to lean on. Recent history has simply been one big scoreline after another rather than tight, cagey games.

Grimsby higher up, but it's closer than it looks

Grimsby sit sixth with 13 points from eight games, built on three wins, four draws and a single loss. Swindon are down in twelfth with 11 points from the same number of matches, having won three, drawn two and lost three.

The gap between them is only two points, so Grimsby's better position doesn't tell the whole story, especially given how both teams have been trending recently.

Where the goals and cards are coming from

Swindon's main source of goals this season is A. Drinan, who has five in eight matches, making him the clear focal point of their attack. Grimsby's threat looks more shared, with K. Green contributing three goals and two assists and C. Vernam adding two assists of his own.

Swindon Town:

Best scorers:

A. Drinan - 5

Penalty cards:

M. Clark x 1 x 1

Grimsby:

Best scorers:

K. Green - 3

Best assist providers:

K. Green - 2

C. Vernam - 2

Penalty cards:

K. Green x 3

On the disciplinary side, Swindon's M. Clark has picked up a red card and a yellow in just six matches, which is worth bearing in mind given how physical League Two games can get.

Swindon's attack leans heavily on one player, while Grimsby's goal threat is spread a little more evenly.