Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Two very different runs of form

Atalanta's last 20 matches across competitions show nine wins, four draws and seven losses, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. That's a team capable of entertaining football in both directions, including a wild 4-4 draw with Frosinone and a 3-1 win over Venezia in recent weeks.

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1

Atalanta to win

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£30.00

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Draw

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Odds4.5

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£90.00

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2

Parma to win

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Odds6

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Atalanta: 20 completed matches; Parma: 20 completed matches.

Atalanta

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

28

Difference

+4

Parma

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

13

Conceded

28

Difference

-15

Parma's equivalent sample makes for grim reading: four wins, five draws and eleven losses, with just 14 goals scored against 28 conceded. They've shipped three or more goals in several of those matches, including a 3-0 loss at Torino and a 3-0 defeat to Inter.

Parma's struggles to score are the standout number here.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atalanta vs Parma

Recent meetings have leaned Atalanta's way

The most recent league meeting in January 2026 saw Atalanta win 4-0 at home. The reverse fixture last August finished 1-1 at Parma, and the meeting before that was a tight 3-2 Atalanta win.

Go further back and the head-to-head has swung both ways over the years, including some heavy away wins for Parma in older seasons. The current pattern, though, points towards Atalanta.

The table backs up the form

Atalanta sit 10th with nine points from seven Serie A games, scoring ten and conceding eleven. Parma are down in 16th with only four points from six matches, having scored just four goals themselves.

That's a five-point gap built on very little Serie A football so far this season, but it lines up with the wider form picture above.

Limited but notable discipline notes

The only player data available concerns bookings. Parma's M. Troilo and E. Del Prato have each picked up two yellow cards in their last five appearances, while Atalanta's G. Gaetano has a red card from his last four.

Atalanta:

Penalty cards:

G. Gaetano x 1

Parma:

Penalty cards:

M. Troilo x 2

E. Del Prato x 2

This is a partial list rather than a full squad update, so it doesn't tell us much about who's actually available for this fixture.

How this one could play out

Atalanta's attack has been productive but their defence has leaked goals too, so a one-sided shutout isn't guaranteed even against a struggling Parma side. Parma's away form shows they can grab the odd goal, even in defeats, which keeps something on the table for them.

Given Atalanta's scoring form and Parma's leaky defence, goals at both ends wouldn't be a surprise, though Parma's inability to score freely works against a high-scoring afternoon.