Watford vs Lincoln Prediction

Home comforts for Watford, away struggles for Lincoln

Watford's results away from home have been grim, but in the league at Vicarage Road they've actually won four of their last six, including victories over Charlton, Preston and Swansea. Their only home league defeat in that stretch came against Stoke.

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1

Watford to win

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Odds2.35

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£47.00

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Draw

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Odds3.5

Potential return

£70.00

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2

Lincoln to win

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Odds3.05

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Watford: 20 completed matches; Lincoln: 20 completed matches.

Watford

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

39

Difference

-20

Lincoln

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

36

Difference

-14

Lincoln's picture is almost the reverse. Across their last five away league games they've picked up just a single point, drawing at Millwall and losing at Sheffield United, Bristol City, Preston and Bolton. That's a run worth bearing in mind given where this game is being played.

The venue split looks like it favours Watford more than the table alone suggests.

Comparative Team Statistics: Watford vs Lincoln

Two teams level on points, both toiling

Lincoln sit 18th with 12 points from 11 games, built on three wins, three draws and five defeats. Watford are just behind in 20th on 11 points, with three wins, two draws and six losses.

Both have scored under a goal a game and conceded 19 times each, so neither has found much security at either end of the pitch.

Nabizada carries the goal threat, cards could fly too

Amin Nabizada has been Watford's main source of goals, with three in his last eight appearances. He's also picked up three yellow cards in that span, so his discipline is worth keeping an eye on.

Watford:

Best scorers:

Amin Nabizada - 3

Penalty cards:

Amin Nabizada x 3

Lincoln:

Penalty cards:

F. Draper x 4

C. McGrandles x 3

For Lincoln, F. Draper and C. McGrandles have both been regulars in the referee's notebook recently, with four and three bookings respectively across eight games. It hints at a midfield battle that could get feisty.

What kind of game this shapes up to be

Add it together and this looks like a tight, low-confidence contest between two sides short on form. Watford's home strength and Lincoln's away struggles pull in one direction, but both defences have had plenty of off days too.

Neither side has been free-scoring, so a cagey, scrappy affair feels more likely than a goal rush, even though results for both have swung wildly between heavy defeats and unexpected hauls.