Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Contrasting runs heading into this one

PSG's recent sample is a bit of a mixed bag. They've lost back-to-back Ligue 1 away games, at Brest and then at Marseille, but sandwiched in among that is a 6-1 Champions League win over Slovan Bratislava and a routine 2-1 victory over Monaco. It shows a side capable of big performances but not always consistent week to week in the league.

Paris Saint Germain: 20 completed matches; Estac Troyes: 20 completed matches.

Paris Saint Germain

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

27

Difference

+13

Estac Troyes

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

36

Conceded

26

Difference

+10

Troyes have had a rougher patch in Ligue 1 specifically. Across their last several league matches they've lost to Angers, Lille, Strasbourg and Lorient, only picking up a point with a goalless draw against Paris FC. Some of their wider sample includes friendlies and last season's Ligue 2 form, which isn't directly comparable, but the recent top-flight results stand out as a worry.

Troyes' away form in the league this season has been particularly poor.

Comparative Team Statistics: Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes

History leans heavily one way

The head-to-head record is skewed firmly towards PSG, including a 9-0 and a 4-0 among the ten meetings on file. Even the closer games, like the 4-3 and 2-2 draws, tend to come with PSG scoring freely.

That said, the most recent meeting was back in 2023, a 3-1 PSG win, and the squads on both sides have changed a fair amount since then. Old results like this tell us about history rather than about either team's current strength.

Where they sit right now

PSG are sixth with eight points from five games, a win, two draws... actually two wins, two draws and a loss, with eight scored and seven conceded. That's a decent if not dominant return for a club of their stature this early on.

Troyes are down in sixteenth with just four points from the same number of matches, having won once, drawn once and lost three times, with only four goals scored against eleven conceded. It paints a club still adjusting to the step up.

Attacking names to watch

Ferran Torres has four goals in five appearances for PSG this season, with Marquinhos chipping in three and Fabián Ruiz supplying a couple of assists. It suggests the goals are coming from more than one source.

Paris Saint Germain:

Best scorers:

Ferran Torres - 4

Marquinhos - 3

Best assist providers:

Fabián Ruiz - 2

Estac Troyes:

Penalty cards:

M. Diaz x 2

On the Troyes side, the only player note available is M. Diaz picking up two yellow cards in five matches, which doesn't tell us much beyond a disciplinary note. There isn't enough here to draw conclusions about their attacking options.