Denmark vs Norway Prediction

Contrasting recent form

Denmark have won five of their last eight matches and kept things tight at the back, conceding just nine goals in that spell. That defensive solidity has underpinned some decent Nations League results lately.

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Denmark to win

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Draw

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Norway to win

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Denmark: 8 completed matches; Norway: 16 completed matches.

Denmark

8 matches

Win

62.5% 5 / 8

Draw

12.5% 1 / 8

Loss

25% 2 / 8

Scored

16

Conceded

9

Difference

+7

Norway

16 matches

Win

43.8% 7 / 16

Draw

18.8% 3 / 16

Loss

37.5% 6 / 16

Scored

26

Conceded

24

Difference

+2

Norway's record looks shakier by comparison. They've won seven of sixteen matches but lost six, including a rough run through the World Cup, and they've lost three of their last four Nations League games. Their only win in that recent stretch came against Denmark.

Denmark go into this with the more settled recent form.

Comparative Team Statistics: Denmark vs Norway

A fresh head-to-head memory

These two faced off just last month in the Nations League, with Norway winning away from home. It's the most recent and most relevant data point we have on how they match up right now.

Go back further and there's a 2024 friendly where Denmark won comfortably. Two meetings isn't much of a pattern, but the venue swap this time matters since Norway's recent win came in Oslo, not Denmark.

Recent history slightly favours Norway, but home advantage has now shifted to Denmark.

Where they sit in the group

In this Nations League group, Denmark sit second with six points from four games, while Norway are fourth with only three points. That gap lines up with what the broader form figures suggest.

Key performers from the last meeting

The player data we've got comes mainly from that September clash. Erling Haaland scored twice for Norway, with Martin Ødegaard and Antonio Nusa both chipping in assists, which shows where Norway's attacking threat tends to come from.

Denmark:

Penalty cards:

G. Isaksen x 1

Norway:

Best scorers:

E. Haaland - 2

Best assist providers:

M. Ødegaard - 2

A. Nusa - 1

Penalty cards:

D. Møller Wolfe x 1 x 1

On the discipline side, Norway's David Møller Wolfe picked up a yellow and a red in that same game, while Denmark's Gustav Isaksen was booked. It's just one match's worth of data, but it's worth watching how that temperature carries into the rematch.