Lincoln vs Birmingham Prediction

Two very different recent patterns

Birmingham's last 20 matches across all competitions show 10 wins, 8 draws and just 2 losses, with 33 goals for and 25 against. That's a lot of draws for a side with that many wins, suggesting games that stay close rather than get run away with.

Lincoln: 20 completed matches; Birmingham: 20 completed matches.

Lincoln

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

29

Difference

-4

Birmingham

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

25

Difference

+8

Lincoln's equivalent sample is more boom-or-bust: 10 wins but 8 losses too, with only 2 draws, and a negative goal difference at 25 for, 29 against. Worth remembering this stretch covers cup games and friendlies as well as league fixtures, so it's a broad snapshot rather than a pure Championship record.

Birmingham's pattern of drawing a lot hints at tight, competitive matches rather than one-sided ones.

Comparative Team Statistics: Lincoln vs Birmingham

Past meetings came in a different division

These two have met three times recently, all in League One or FA Cup football last season. Birmingham won twice at home, including an FA Cup tie, while Lincoln picked up an away win in the league.

Both clubs are now playing Championship football, so that history doesn't tell us a great deal about how they'll fare against this level of opposition.

Level on points, separated by goal difference

After eight games, Birmingham sit 10th on 11 points with a goal difference of plus one, while Lincoln are 12th, also on 11 points but with a goal difference of minus one. It's about as close as a table can show two teams to be.

Birmingham's numbers (2 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss) back up what the longer-term form sample suggested, a side that rarely loses but doesn't convert many games into wins either. Lincoln's record (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) points to more variance game to game.

Points and position suggest there's very little to split these two sides right now.

A few names to watch

Birmingham's L. Millar has racked up 3 assists in just 4 matches, which is a decent rate and suggests some creative threat if selected again.

Lincoln:

Penalty cards:

F. Draper x 4

C. McGrandles x 3

Birmingham:

Best assist providers:

L. Millar - 3

Penalty cards:

B. Osayi-Samuel x 3

On the disciplinary side, Lincoln's F. Draper and C. McGrandles have both picked up several yellow cards already this season, as has Birmingham's B. Osayi-Samuel. None of that confirms who starts on the day, but it's a reminder these aren't always comfortable, cards-free fixtures.