Botafogo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Form guide: Atletico-MG rolling, Botafogo stuttering

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have won 11, drawn 7 and lost just twice, scoring 28 and conceding only 17. That's a tidy return against a mixed bag of league, cup and continental opposition.

Botafogo: 20 completed matches; Atletico-MG: 20 completed matches.

Botafogo

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Atletico-MG

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

17

Difference

+11

Botafogo's equivalent run reads differently. Seven wins, six draws and seven losses from 20, with 24 scored but 28 conceded, points to a side that's been leaking goals more often than winning games.

Atletico-MG's tighter defence looks like the more reliable trait heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Botafogo vs Atletico-MG

A fixture Atletico-MG tend to enjoy

Looking back over their recent meetings, Atletico-MG have the better record, including some lopsided scorelines like 3-0 and 0-3 at different points. The most recent clash in May finished 1-1, so Botafogo have shown they can make it close even when the broader pattern favours their opponents.

That history stretches back several seasons though, and squads change. It's context rather than a guarantee of what happens this time.

Where they sit in the table

Atletico-MG are seventh with 40 points from 27 games. Botafogo sit down in 12th on 35 points from 28, with a negative goal difference after shipping 45 goals already this season.

Atletico-MG have conceded just 32 in the same period, which backs up the tighter defensive numbers from their recent form.

Fitness notes for both sides

Botafogo have three players listed as questionable: J. Correa with a muscle issue, Marcal with a knee problem and S. Rodriguez carrying an injury. Atletico-MG's only similar flag is Junior Santos, who's described as inactive rather than clearly ruled out.

Botafogo:

Best scorers:

Danilo Santos - 9

Arthur Cabral - 7

Best assist providers:

Álvaro Montoro - 5

Alex Telles - 4

Penalty cards:

A. Barboza x 1 x 5

C. Medina x 1 x 4

Injury list:

J. Correa

Marcal

S. Rodriguez

Atletico-MG:

Penalty cards:

Renan Lodi x 1 x 4

Ruan Tressoldi x 7

Injury list:

Junior Santos

On the goals front, Botafogo's Danilo Santos has 9 in 21 appearances and Arthur Cabral has 7, with Álvaro Montoro chipping in five assists. That attacking output has kept them competitive despite the leaky defence.

If any of Botafogo's three flagged players are missing, their attacking options could be stretched.