Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction

Recent form

Once Caldas's last 20 matches read 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, which looks solid on paper. But the picture right before this fixture is patchier: four defeats in their last seven, including a home loss to Bucaramanga and away defeats to Deportivo Pasto and Chico.

Once Caldas: 20 completed matches; Alianza Petrolera: 20 completed matches.

Once Caldas

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

22

Difference

+7

Alianza Petrolera

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

31

Difference

-11

Alianza Petrolera's overall numbers are much rougher. Just 5 wins from 20 matches, with 31 goals conceded against 21 scored. There have been some heavy nights too, a 1-5 loss at home to Atletico Nacional and a 3-0 defeat away at America de Cali.

Caldas' recent dip takes some shine off their season numbers, while Alianza's defensive record has been consistently leaky.

Comparative Team Statistics: Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera

History between them

This fixture has plenty of history, with meetings going back to 2016. Most of them have been close, low-scoring affairs, with several draws and narrow one-goal wins on both sides over the years.

The most recent meeting came in September 2026, when Once Caldas edged it 1-0 in the Copa Colombia. Before that, they drew 1-1 in February and 0-0 the previous August, so the trend of tight scorelines between these two has held up.

Even with the gap in form, this pairing has rarely produced one-sided results.

Where they sit

The tables on offer show Once Caldas well clear of Alianza Petrolera by any reading. In one table Caldas sit 5th with 33 points from 19 games, against Alianza down in 17th with 17 points from the same number of matches.

A second, shorter table tells a similar story: Caldas 10th with 12 points from 11 games, Alianza 19th with just 8 points from 10. Whichever snapshot you look at, the gap between the two sides is clear.

Players to note

Once Caldas have their goals fairly concentrated. D. Moreno has 15 in 31 appearances and J. Zapata has chipped in 10, with J. Cuesta setting up 9 for others across 32 games.

Once Caldas:

Best scorers:

D. Moreno - 15

J. Zapata - 10

Best assist providers:

J. Cuesta - 9

Penalty cards:

M. Zuleta x 2 x 6

J. Quiñónes x 9

Alianza Petrolera:

Penalty cards:

C. Esparragoza x 10

On discipline, Alianza's C. Esparragoza has picked up 10 yellow cards in 22 matches, while Caldas duo J. Quiñónes and M. Zuleta have both been booked regularly too, with Zuleta also sent off twice this season.