Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction

Form going into this one

Chelsea's recent run has been a mixed bag. They've beaten Man Utd, Everton, Bournemouth, Brighton and Fulham, but they've also been turned over by Tottenham, Brentford and Arsenal along the way. Goals have flowed at both ends of their games, with several matches producing four or more.

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1

Sunderland to win

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Odds3.75

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£75.00

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Draw

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Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

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2

Chelsea to win

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Odds1.95

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Sunderland: 20 completed matches; Chelsea: 20 completed matches.

Sunderland

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

28

Difference

-1

Chelsea

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

47

Conceded

33

Difference

+14

Sunderland's form is tougher reading. Across their last ten matches in all competitions they've lost more often than not, including league defeats to Brighton, Man City and Arsenal, plus a loss away at Coventry. Their scoring has been thin too, which lines up with a side that's conceded regularly.

Chelsea's matches tend to have goals in them, Sunderland's often don't.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sunderland vs Chelsea

Head-to-head history

Chelsea have dominated this fixture over the years, with plenty of heavy wins in their favour stretching back over a decade. But the two most recent meetings buck that trend completely, with Sunderland winning both, home and away.

It's a small sample against a long backdrop of Chelsea dominance, and the squads involved have changed since those two results, so it shouldn't be read as proof Sunderland have Chelsea's number now.

Recent history offers Sunderland a little encouragement, even if the bigger picture still favours Chelsea.

The league table tells its own story

Chelsea sit fourth with 16 points from nine games, built on five wins, a draw and three defeats, and a goal difference of plus four. Sunderland are 20th with just five points from the same number of matches, having won once, drawn twice and lost six times, with a goal difference of minus ten.

That's a big gap in quality and results so far this season, and it's the clearest piece of evidence pointing one way.

Players to watch

João Pedro has been involved in goals regularly for Chelsea, with three goals and three assists in just four matches, and Cole Palmer continues to create chances alongside him. Morgan Rogers has also chipped in with three goals.

Sunderland:

Best scorers:

B. Brobbey - 3

Penalty cards:

Reinildo x 1 x 1

Chelsea:

Best scorers:

João Pedro - 3

M. Rogers - 3

C. Palmer - 2

Best assist providers:

João Pedro - 3

C. Palmer - 2

J. Hato - 2

For Sunderland, Brobbey is the main source of goals with three in five matches, which stands out given how little the team has scored overall this season.