Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Recent form across all competitions is a mixed picture

Looking further back across all competitions, not just this league season, Milan's last 20 matches show seven wins, five draws and eight defeats, with goals fairly balanced at 26 for and 29 against. That sample includes Europa League nights and summer friendlies, so it's a broader read on the club rather than a pure league form guide.

Genoa: 20 completed matches; AC Milan: 20 completed matches.

Genoa

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

34

Difference

-15

AC Milan

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

29

Difference

-2

Genoa's equivalent sample is rougher: six wins, four draws and ten defeats, with only 19 goals scored against 34 conceded. A couple of those matches were lopsided friendlies rather than competitive fixtures, but the overall trend still points to a side that's conceded more than it's created lately.

Comparative Team Statistics: Genoa vs AC Milan

History favours Milan, but recent meetings have been closer

Looking back over the head-to-head record, Milan have won the majority of meetings between these two clubs down the years, including some comfortable wins. That long record leans heavily their way.

The last two meetings tell a tighter story though. Milan drew 1-1 away at Genoa in January 2026, then won 2-1 away again in May 2026. Recent meetings have been closer than the overall history suggests.

The table makes uncomfortable reading for Genoa

As things stand, Milan are fifth with 11 points from five games, unbeaten so far with three wins and two draws. Genoa are down in 19th with just a single point from the same number of matches, having lost four of their five.

The goal difference tells its own story too. Milan have scored ten and conceded only four, while Genoa have managed just three goals and shipped ten. That's a big early gap, though five games is still a small sample with plenty of season left before this fixture.

A month out from kickoff, both sides have time to add to this picture before they actually meet.

Attacking threats and a couple of cards to watch

For Milan, Diego Moreira has three goals in just three matches, while Rabiot has chipped in with two goals and two assists in five games. Chukwueze has also added two assists, so there's a decent spread of contribution in the final third.

Genoa:

Best assist providers:

L. Colombo - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Vásquez x 1 x 1

L. Østigård x 3

AC Milan:

Best scorers:

Diego Moreira - 3

A. Rabiot - 2

Best assist providers:

A. Rabiot - 2

S. Chukwueze - 2

Penalty cards:

S. Pavlović x 2

On Genoa's side, Colombo has two assists among the players highlighted, and Ostigard has already picked up three yellow cards in five matches, which is worth keeping an eye on given how tight that disciplinary record is. This is a partial list rather than a full squad breakdown, so it shouldn't be read as the complete picture.