Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir Prediction

Contrasting recent form

Stenhousemuir's last 20 games read well: 11 wins, 6 draws and just 3 losses, with 25 goals scored against 15 conceded. There's been the odd away slip, including defeats at Inverness and Ayr, but the overall pattern is one of consistency.

Arbroath: 20 completed matches; Stenhousemuir: 20 completed matches.

Arbroath

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

21

Conceded

31

Difference

-10

Stenhousemuir

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

17

Difference

+7

Arbroath's equivalent run is much choppier. Seven wins and ten losses from 20, with 30 goals conceded, shows a side that's struggled for defensive solidity. Results have swung from a 3-0 win at Partick to home defeats against Morton and Stenhousemuir within the same stretch.

Stenhousemuir's away form hasn't been flawless, but it's far steadier than anything Arbroath have managed recently.

Comparative Team Statistics: Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir

Recent meetings favour the visitors

Of the last four meetings between these two, Stenhousemuir have won three. The most recent, back in September this year, went 1-0 to Stenhousemuir. Arbroath's only win in that sample came at home in November 2024.

Older meetings go back to League One days and carry less weight now, but the pattern in recent seasons has generally leaned Stenhousemuir's way.

League table tells a clear story

Stenhousemuir top the Championship with 23 points from 10 games, built on a healthy +8 goal difference. Arbroath sit eighth with 11 points from 11 played and a goal difference of minus ten.

That gap isn't just about recent form, it's reflected across the whole season so far.

What to watch for

Arbroath will want home advantage to count for something, since their away form has been the bigger problem this season. But their home results haven't been reliable either, with defeats to both Morton and Stenhousemuir already this campaign.

Stenhousemuir arrive with the better underlying numbers and recent head-to-head edge, though they're not unbeatable away from home, as Inverness and Ayr both showed.