The New Saints host Ammanford AFC in the Wales Premier League. It's a meeting between a side that's barely dropped a point all season and one that's barely picked any up.
There's a genuine gulf in how these two have been playing over the past couple of months, in different competitions and at different ends of the table. Whether that gap holds up over a full ninety minutes in October is still open.
Analysis updated .
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Very different recent runs
Looking across their last 20 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have won 14, drawn 2 and lost just 4, scoring 38 and conceding only 14. That sample includes European ties and a couple of friendlies alongside league games, so it's a broad look at how they've been performing rather than a pure league form line.
The New Saints: 20 completed matches; Ammanford AFC: 20 completed matches.
The New Saints
- Win
- 75% 15 / 20
- Draw
- 10% 2 / 20
- Loss
- 15% 3 / 20
- Scored
- 41
- Conceded
- 13
- Difference
- +28
Ammanford AFC
- Win
- 35% 7 / 20
- Draw
- 20% 4 / 20
- Loss
- 45% 9 / 20
- Scored
- 27
- Conceded
- 40
- Difference
- -13
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Trefelin | The New Saints | 26.09.2026 | 1-3 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Llandudno | 19.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Flint Town United | 15.09.2026 | 5-0 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 11.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Barry Town | 05.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| Premier League | Caernarfon Town | The New Saints | 31.08.2026 | 2-3 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Colwyn Bay | 28.08.2026 | 5-1 |
| Premier League | Cardiff MET | The New Saints | 21.08.2026 | 0-5 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Briton Ferry | 14.08.2026 | 1-0 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Haverfordwest County AFC | 07.08.2026 | 2-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Flint Town United | Ammanford AFC | 26.09.2026 | 3-0 |
| Premier League | Ammanford AFC | Penybont | 18.09.2026 | 1-5 |
| Premier League | Barry Town | Ammanford AFC | 15.09.2026 | 2-2 |
| Premier League | Ammanford AFC | Caernarfon Town | 11.09.2026 | 0-5 |
| Premier League | Llandudno | Ammanford AFC | 04.09.2026 | 2-0 |
| Premier League | Ammanford AFC | Cardiff MET | 31.08.2026 | 0-5 |
| Premier League | Trefelin | Ammanford AFC | 28.08.2026 | 1-1 |
| Premier League | Ammanford AFC | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 22.08.2026 | 0-2 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | Ammanford AFC | 14.08.2026 | 2-0 |
| Premier League | Ammanford AFC | Colwyn Bay | 07.08.2026 | 2-2 |
Ammanford's equivalent sample reads very differently: 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, with 27 scored but 37 conceded. Several of those matches came in the FAW Championship rather than the Premier League, so it's a mixed picture, but the trend of leaking goals is consistent throughout.
TNS have been the more reliable side across a wide range of fixtures, while Ammanford have struggled defensively regardless of competition.
Comparative Team Statistics: The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC

Table tells a similar story
In the current Wales Premier League table, The New Saints sit top with 28 points from 10 games, having won nine and drawn one, with a goal difference of plus 22. Ammanford are down in 14th with just 3 points from the same number of matches, still without a win and having lost seven times.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29/5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22/9 | 27 |
| 3 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27/8 | 25 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5/27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford AFC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7/31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12/36 | 2 |
Both sides have played 10 league games, so this is a genuine reflection of where they stand this season rather than an early-season snapshot.
The gap in points and goal difference is already substantial ten games into the campaign.

How this one might play out
Given the numbers, a home side that's conceded only four league goals all season facing an away side that's shipped 28 sets up an obvious shape for the game. TNS have generally set up to control matches at home, and Ammanford's away form in this sample shows they've conceded heavily on the road too.
It's worth remembering this fixture is roughly a month beyond the data we're working from, so neither side's current momentum is guaranteed to carry through untouched. Squads can shift, and form can dip or recover in that time.
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | England | 33 | Attacker | 184 | 72 |
| R. Brobbel | Northern Ireland | 33 | Midfielder | 176 | 74 |
| B. Clark | England | 25 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| D. Redmond | England | 35 | Midfielder | 175 | n/a |
| L. Smith | Wales | 28 | Midfielder | 179 | 70 |
| D. Davies | Wales | 31 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| D. Simeu | England | 24 | Defender | 186 cm | 83 kg |
| R. Hughes | Wales | 25 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| D. Williams | Wales | 25 | Defender | 172 | n/a |
| Eoin Farrell | Republic of Ireland | 24 | n/a | n/a | |
| Harvey George Godsmark-Ford | England | 23 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| D. Corness | England | 23 | Midfielder | 174 | 62 |
| Jack Richard Nadin | England | 21 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| B. Woollam | England | 21 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| Isaac Jefferies | England | 21 | Midfielder | 171 | n/a |
| Z. Nolan | Republic of Ireland | 21 | n/a | n/a | |
| Daniel Barton | England | 21 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|
Everything points to The New Saints being firmly in control on paper, top of the table and miles ahead defensively, while Ammanford have struggled everywhere they've played recently. That's a reasonable expectation for how the match might go.
But with no market attached to this fixture, there's nothing concrete to recommend. It's a case of watching how the gap in form holds up rather than backing a specific outcome.
