Armenia vs Montenegro Prediction, 28 Sep 2026

Armenia host Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League. The hosts have struggled to find any real rhythm lately, while Montenegro have looked the more assured side in their recent outings.

These two met in a friendly just last year and shared the points in a high-scoring draw. Both sides have had contrasting months since then, and that gap in recent form is worth digging into before kickoff.

Analysis updated 25 Sep 2026, 15:51 UTC.

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Two very different form lines

Armenia's last five matches have brought no wins at all, just three draws and two defeats, with more goals conceded than scored. That's a run that suggests a team still searching for consistency in front of their own supporters.

What could your bet return?

Armenia to win

Your stake£

Odds2.9

Potential return£58.00Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.2

Potential return£64.00Bet Now

Montenegro to win

Your stake£

Odds2.45

Potential return£49.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Armenia: 6 completed matches; Montenegro: 7 completed matches.

Armenia

6 matches

Win: 16.7% 1 / 6
Draw: 50% 3 / 6
Loss: 33.3% 2 / 6

Scored: 9
Conceded: 11
Difference: -2

Montenegro

7 matches

Win: 57.1% 4 / 7
Draw: 28.6% 2 / 7
Loss: 14.3% 1 / 7

Scored: 13
Conceded: 9
Difference: +4

Armenia
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Nations League	Armenia	Latvia	25.09.2026	2-0
Friendlies	Armenia	Moldova	09.06.2026	1-1
Friendlies	Armenia	Kazakhstan	06.06.2026	1-1
Friendlies	Armenia	Belarus	29.03.2026	1-2
Friendlies	Montenegro	Armenia	09.06.2025	2-2
Friendlies	Kosovo	Armenia	06.06.2025	5-2

Montenegro
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Nations League	Montenegro	Cyprus	25.09.2026	2-1
Friendlies	Slovakia	Montenegro	05.06.2026	2-2
Friendlies	Bulgaria	Montenegro	01.06.2026	0-1
Friendlies	Montenegro	Slovenia	31.03.2026	2-3
Friendlies	Montenegro	Andorra	27.03.2026	2-0
Friendlies	Montenegro	Liechtenstein	13.10.2025	2-1
Friendlies	Montenegro	Armenia	09.06.2025	2-2

Montenegro, by contrast, have won three of their last six, drawn two and lost only one, scoring freely along the way. It's a healthier sample overall, even accounting for the mixed opposition in friendlies.

Montenegro's recent form looks noticeably stronger than Armenia's, even before factoring in venue.

Comparative Team Statistics: Armenia vs Montenegro

Armenia vs Montenegro statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

A history that doesn't lean either way

The two sides have met four times in the available record, spanning friendlies and World Cup qualifiers going back to 2016. Results have swung both ways, including a heavy 4-1 win for Montenegro and a narrow Armenia win the following year.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Friendlies	Montenegro	Armenia	09.06.2025	2-2
Friendlies	Armenia	Montenegro	24.03.2022	1-0
World Cup - Qualification Europe	Montenegro	Armenia	10.06.2017	4-1
World Cup - Qualification Europe	Armenia	Montenegro	11.11.2016	3-2

Their most recent meeting, last June, finished level at 2-2. That's the freshest data point and it points to a fairly even contest rather than a rivalry with a clear pattern.

Armenia vs Montenegro: UEFA Nations League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

How this one could shape up

Both teams have shown they can score and concede in recent matches, which points to an open game rather than a cagey one. Armenia's home form hasn't given much reassurance that they can shut sides out, while Montenegro have generally kept themselves in games even against tougher opposition.

With Armenia winless in their recent sample and Montenegro coming in with more control of results, there's a reasonable case that the visitors are at least entitled to avoid defeat here, if not force it.

Key player statistics: Armenia vs Montenegro

Armenia:

Best scorers:

A. Gharibyan - 1

Best assist providers:

Z. Shaghoyan - 1

E. Spertsyan - 1

Montenegro:

Best assist providers:

N. Krstović - 1

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 2.9

Х: 3.2

W2: 2.45

Handicap

Armenia

Montenegro

Handicap (-2.5): 12.00

Handicap (-2.5): 1.02

Handicap (-1.75): 8.70

Handicap (-1.75): 1.02

Handicap (-1.5): 6.25

Handicap (-1.5): 1.12

Handicap (-1.25): 5.75

Handicap (-1.25): 1.14

Handicap (-1): 5.25

Handicap (-1): 1.16

Handicap (-0.75): 3.55

Handicap (-0.75): 1.27

Handicap (-0.5): 2.85

Handicap (-0.5): 1.40

Handicap (-0.25): 2.42

Handicap (-0.25): 1.52

Handicap (0): 2.05

Handicap (0): 1.75

Handicap (0.25): 1.70

Handicap (0.25): 2.10

Handicap (0.5): 1.52

Handicap (0.5): 2.42

Handicap (0.75): 1.38

Handicap (0.75): 3.00

Handicap (1): 1.23

Handicap (1): 4.10

Handicap (1.25): 1.19

Handicap (1.25): 4.50

Handicap (1.5): 1.16

Handicap (1.5): 5.25

Handicap (1.75): 1.10

Handicap (1.75): 6.80

Handicap (2): 1.01

Handicap (2): 10.00

Handicap (2.5): 1.02

Handicap (2.5): 11.00

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.07

Under (0.5): 7.50

Over (0.75): 1.03

Under (0.75): 7.70

Over (1): 1.05

Under (1): 6.90

Over (1.25): 1.20

Under (1.25): 3.86

Over (1.5): 1.40

Under (1.5): 2.75

Over (1.75): 1.46

Under (1.75): 2.52

Over (2): 1.62

Under (2): 2.18

Over (2.25): 1.90

Under (2.25): 1.84

Over (2.5): 2.25

Under (2.5): 1.62

Over (2.75): 2.57

Under (2.75): 1.47

Over (3): 3.26

Under (3): 1.30

Over (3.25): 3.64

Under (3.25): 1.24

Over (3.5): 4.00

Under (3.5): 1.22

Over (3.75): 5.15

Under (3.75): 1.11

Over (4): 7.50

Under (4): 1.04

Over (4.25): 7.80

Under (4.25): 1.02

Over (4.5): 7.50

Under (4.5): 1.07

Over (5.5): 11.00

Under (5.5): 1.02

Over (6.5): 17.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Armenia
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
N. Tiknizyan	Armenia	27	Defender	182	82
J. Julio	Colombia	30	Defender	190	86
A. Beglaryan	Armenia	33	Goalkeeper	186	78
E. Spertsyan	Armenia	26	Midfielder	178	66
A. Miranyan	Armenia	30	Attacker	179	75
Z. Shaghoyan	Armenia	25	Attacker	n/a	n/a
N. Grigoryan	Armenia	25	Attacker	180	77
O. Čančarević	Armenia	37	Goalkeeper	188	87
U. Iwu	Armenia	26	Midfielder	176	73
K. Muradyan	Armenia	33	Midfielder	n/a	n/a
A. Petrosyan	Armenia	33	Defender	182	n/a
E. Sevikyan	Russia	25	Midfielder	175	69
E. Simonyan	Armenia	23	Defender	183	73
A. Serobyan	Armenia	23	Forward	n/a	n/a
G. Manvelyan	France	24	Midfielder	180	n/a
K. Ayvazyan	Armenia	22	Defender	181	71
E. Piloyan	Armenia	25	Defender	182	78
K. Hovhannisyan	Armenia	21	Midfielder	164	n/a
G. Matinyan	Armenia	22	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
G. Harutyunyan	Armenia	22	Defender	189	82

Montenegro
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
S. Jovetić	Montenegro	36	Attacker	183	79
A. Marušić	Montenegro	33	Defender	185	76
V. Jovović	Montenegro	31	Midfielder	173	71
M. Bakić	Montenegro	32	Midfielder	186	78
S. Lončar	Montenegro	30	Midfielder	190	85
D. Petković	Montenegro	33	Goalkeeper	197	86
M. Vukčević	Montenegro	33	Defender	181	78
M. Janković	Montenegro	31	Midfielder	172	67
S. Mugoša	Montenegro	34	Attacker	188	81
M. Vešović	Montenegro	35	Defender	177	70
S. Rubežić	Serbia	26	Defender	194	n/a
A. Vukčević	Montenegro	29	Defender	180	77
N. Šipčić	Montenegro	31	Defender	192	87
M. Mijatović	Montenegro	39	Goalkeeper	192	90
I. Vujačić	Montenegro	32	Defender	189	77
M. Osmajić	Montenegro	27	Forward	186	75
N. Krstović	Montenegro	26	Attacker	185	83
M. Brnović	Montenegro	26	Midfielder	182	n/a
O. Gašević	Montenegro	24	Defender	n/a	n/a
B. Popović	Montenegro	26	Goalkeeper	194	n/a

Putting the form gap alongside a head-to-head record that doesn't favour either side, backing Montenegro not to lose feels like the more sensible read of this fixture.

Armenia's home struggles are the clearest signal here, and until they show they can turn draws into wins, there's little reason to back them outright over a Montenegro side playing with more control.