Hamburger SV host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Both clubs have had a shaky start to the campaign, sitting close together near the wrong end of the table after the opening weeks.
This fixture has produced plenty of goals down the years, and neither side has looked settled defensively this season either. That combination makes the way each team has been conceding worth a proper look before anything else.
Analysis updated .
Where to place this bet
Two shaky runs, but one looks worse
Hamburg's recent Bundesliga form makes for grim reading at the back. In their last four league games they've shipped five goals twice, including a 0-5 home defeat to Mainz, with their only win a scrappy 2-1 over Köln.
What could your bet return?
Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
Hamburger SV: 20 completed matches; VfB Stuttgart: 20 completed matches.
Hamburger SV
- Win
- 35% 7 / 20
- Draw
- 20% 4 / 20
- Loss
- 45% 9 / 20
- Scored
- 29
- Conceded
- 41
- Difference
- -12
VfB Stuttgart
- Win
- 55% 11 / 20
- Draw
- 20% 4 / 20
- Loss
- 25% 5 / 20
- Scored
- 55
- Conceded
- 28
- Difference
- +27
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | 1. FC Köln | 19.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | 13.09.2026 | 5-0 |
| Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | 06.09.2026 | 0-5 |
| Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | Hamburger SV | 29.08.2026 | 2-0 |
| DFB Pokal | Verl | Hamburger SV | 24.08.2026 | 0-3 |
| Friendlies Clubs | Toulouse | Hamburger SV | 15.08.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies Clubs | Hamburger SV | Lille | 08.08.2026 | 2-2 |
| Friendlies Clubs | Hamburger SV | Everton | 01.08.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies Clubs | 1. FC Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 25.07.2026 | 1-3 |
| Friendlies Clubs | Rapid Vienna | Hamburger SV | 18.07.2026 | 3-2 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies Clubs | VfB Stuttgart | 1. FC Heidenheim | 25.09.2026 | 3-0 |
| Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | 19.09.2026 | 0-1 |
| Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart | 12.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| UEFA Champions League | VfB Stuttgart | Viking | 09.09.2026 | 3-1 |
| Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | 1. FC Köln | 04.09.2026 | 4-1 |
| Bundesliga | Bayern München | VfB Stuttgart | 28.08.2026 | 5-1 |
| DFB Pokal | Hansa Rostock | VfB Stuttgart | 21.08.2026 | 0-4 |
| Friendlies Clubs | Fulham | VfB Stuttgart | 15.08.2026 | 1-0 |
| Friendlies Clubs | VfB Stuttgart | Everton | 08.08.2026 | 3-1 |
| Friendlies Clubs | VfB Stuttgart | Paris FC | 01.08.2026 | 2-2 |
Stuttgart's picture is a bit more mixed. They beat Köln 4-1 but have since lost to Hoffenheim and Dortmund, and were beaten 5-1 by Bayern before that. Their wider sample also includes cup games and pre-season friendlies, so it's worth focusing mainly on the competitive league results when judging where they're really at.
Hamburg's defensive numbers stand out as the bigger concern heading into this one.
Comparative Team Statistics: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Recent meetings have favoured Stuttgart
These two have met regularly over the years, with the head-to-head stretching back well over a decade. The two most recent Bundesliga clashes split unevenly: Stuttgart won 4-0 at home back in April, though Hamburg had earlier won 2-1 in the reverse fixture in November.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | 12.04.2026 | 4-0 |
| Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | 30.11.2025 | 2-1 |
| Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | 05.06.2023 | 1-3 |
| Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | 01.06.2023 | 3-0 |
| Friendlies Clubs | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | 26.08.2020 | 3-2 |
| 2. Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | 28.05.2020 | 3-2 |
| DFB Pokal | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | 29.10.2019 | 1-2 |
| 2. Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | 26.10.2019 | 6-2 |
| Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | 31.03.2018 | 1-1 |
| Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | 04.11.2017 | 3-1 |
Older meetings go back and forth and shouldn't carry much weight now, but that April scoreline is a reminder Stuttgart can put Hamburg away when they're on song.
Same points, different story in the numbers
Both sides currently have three points from four league games, with Stuttgart just above Hamburg. The numbers behind that tally tell separate stories though: Stuttgart have scored six and conceded nine, while Hamburg have managed just two goals and let in thirteen.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7/10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6/9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2/13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4/17 | 1 |
Hamburg's underlying numbers look shakier than the identical points total suggests.
Not much here beyond the attacking sparks
There isn't a full injury picture to lean on, but the available numbers do point to a couple of contributors worth watching. Stuttgart's Vagnoman has two goals in his last four appearances, giving them an outlet beyond the usual forward line.
For Hamburg, Grønbæk has chipped in two assists in his last four games, one of the few positive signs from a side that's really struggled to create.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Daka | Zambia | 27 | Attacker | 183 | 71 |
| Y. Poulsen | Denmark | 32 | Attacker | 192 | 84 |
| S. Bornauw | Belgium | 27 | Defender | 191 | 81 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | Belgium | 26 | Midfielder | 183 | 67 |
| N. Capaldo | Argentina | 28 | Defender | 177 | 75 |
| B. Jatta | Gambia | 28 | Midfielder | 184 | 79 |
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | Portugal | 33 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 81 |
| J. Torunarigha | Germany | 29 | Defender | 191 | 80 |
| Fábio Vieira | Portugal | 26 | Midfielder | 170 | 58 |
| T. Moffi | Nigeria | 27 | Attacker | 188 | 87 |
| R. Philippe | France | 25 | Attacker | 182 | 78 |
| W. Omari | France | 26 | Defender | 188 | 74 |
| N. Remberg | Germany | 26 | Midfielder | 187 | 88 |
| A. Grønbæk | Denmark | 25 | Attacker | 176 | 65 |
| S. Tangvik | Norway | 23 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| D. Møller Wolfe | Norway | 24 | Midfielder | 185 | 78 |
| M. Adeline | France | 22 | Attacker | 180 | 63 |
| B. Nadir | France | 22 | Midfielder | 172 | 65 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | Morocco | 24 | Midfielder | 171 | 66 |
| Daniel Elfadli | Libya | 29 | Midfielder | 188 | 78 |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Führich | Germany | 28 | Midfielder | 181 | 73 |
| N. Nartey | Denmark | 26 | Defender | 187 | 82 |
| G. Prömel | Germany | 31 | Midfielder | 180 | 75 |
| J. Vagnoman | Germany | 25 | Defender | 190 | 90 |
| A. Karazor | Germany | 29 | Midfielder | 191 | 76 |
| M. Funk | Germany | 30 | Goalkeeper | 187 | 88 |
| M. Mittelstädt | Germany | 29 | Defender | 180 | 71 |
| F. Bredlow | Germany | 31 | Goalkeeper | 190 | 87 |
| D. Undav | Germany | 30 | Midfielder | 179 | 86 |
| J. Chabot | Germany | 28 | Defender | 195 | 95 |
| E. Demirović | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 28 | Attacker | 185 | 84 |
| L. Stergiou | Switzerland | 24 | Defender | 181 | 75 |
| J. Leweling | Germany | 25 | Attacker | 185 | 86 |
| R. Hendriks | Netherlands | 25 | Defender | 189 | 83 |
| A. Stiller | Germany | 25 | Midfielder | 183 | 77 |
| Tiago Tomás | Portugal | 24 | Midfielder | 180 | 69 |
| A. Al Dakhil | Belgium | 24 | Defender | 188 | 81 |
| B. Bouanani | Algeria | 21 | Attacker | 177 | 68 |
| B. El Khannouss | Morocco | 22 | Midfielder | 180 | 70 |
| L. Sauer | Slovakia | 20 | Attacker | 184 | 74 |
Neither team arrives full of confidence, but the gap in defensive solidity is hard to look past. Hamburg have shown real fragility at the back, while Stuttgart at least have goals in the tank and a recent big win over this exact opponent.
Backing Stuttgart to win looks the more sensible route here, even if a routine performance shouldn't be assumed given their own inconsistent recent results.
Match result odds
Who will win?
