Germany host Serbia in the UEFA Nations League. Germany have generally looked the sturdier side across the past year, while Serbia have found this run of matches much harder going.
Germany's last outing in this group didn't go the way they wanted, though, and that's worth keeping in mind before digging into the numbers.
Analysis updated .
Where to place this bet
Form check: a Germany dip, a Serbia slump
Germany's broader sample looks solid: six wins from ten, only two defeats, and plenty of goals scored along the way. But the last two Nations League outings tell a different story, a draw away at Netherlands followed by a home defeat to Greece. That's a wobble worth noting even if the overall picture still favours them.
What could your bet return?
Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
Germany: 10 completed matches; Serbia: 6 completed matches.
Germany
- Win
- 60% 6 / 10
- Draw
- 20% 2 / 10
- Loss
- 20% 2 / 10
- Scored
- 24
- Conceded
- 12
- Difference
- +12
Serbia
- Win
- 16.7% 1 / 6
- Draw
- 0% 0 / 6
- Loss
- 83.3% 5 / 6
- Scored
- 5
- Conceded
- 16
- Difference
- -11
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Germany | Greece | 27.09.2026 | 0-1 |
| UEFA Nations League | Netherlands | Germany | 24.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| World Cup | Germany | Paraguay | 29.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| World Cup | Ecuador | Germany | 25.06.2026 | 2-1 |
| World Cup | Germany | Ivory Coast | 20.06.2026 | 2-1 |
| World Cup | Germany | Curaçao | 14.06.2026 | 7-1 |
| Friendlies | USA | Germany | 06.06.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Germany | Finland | 31.05.2026 | 4-0 |
| Friendlies | Germany | Ghana | 30.03.2026 | 2-1 |
| Friendlies | Switzerland | Germany | 27.03.2026 | 3-4 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Serbia | Netherlands | 27.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| UEFA Nations League | Serbia | Greece | 24.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Mexico | Serbia | 05.06.2026 | 5-1 |
| Friendlies | Cape Verde Islands | Serbia | 31.05.2026 | 3-0 |
| Friendlies | Serbia | Saudi Arabia | 31.03.2026 | 2-1 |
| Friendlies | Spain | Serbia | 27.03.2026 | 3-0 |
Serbia's numbers are much rougher. Just one win in six, five defeats, and sixteen goals conceded in that span. Heavy losses to Mexico, Cape Verde and Spain sit alongside back-to-back defeats in this very group, including a home loss to Greece and a home loss to Netherlands.
Serbia arrive with one of the shakier recent runs you'll see from a side at this level.
Comparative Team Statistics: Germany vs Serbia

Head-to-head history
There isn't much recent meeting history here, just two recorded games, a 1-1 friendly draw in 2019 and a narrow 1-0 Germany win at the 2010 World Cup. Both were tight, low-scoring affairs.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies | Germany | Serbia | 20.03.2019 | 1-1 |
| World Cup | Germany | Serbia | 18.06.2010 | 0-1 |
That history is old enough now that it says little about either side's current level, but it's a reminder these two haven't traditionally produced open, high-scoring matches.
Who's been involved
The player data here is limited to isolated appearances rather than a full team news picture. Adeyemi has provided an assist in a recent Germany outing, and Tadić has done the same for Serbia. Terzić picked up a yellow card in his most recent match.
None of that amounts to confirmed selection information, just a snapshot of who's been contributing in the games we have on record.

How this one might unfold
Put the pieces together and Germany look the clearly stronger side over the last year, even accounting for their recent group stumble. Serbia's away form has been especially poor, with goals hard to come by and defeats piling up.
The low-scoring history between these two, combined with Serbia managing only five goals in their last six matches, points towards a game where clear-cut chances might not flow freely for the away side. Germany's home form has been inconsistent lately too, though, so this doesn't look like a guaranteed procession.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ter Stegen | Germany | 34 | Goalkeeper | 187 | 88 |
| A. Nübel | Germany | 30 | Goalkeeper | 193 | 86 |
| M. Neuer | Germany | 40 | Goalkeeper | 193 | 93 |
| J. Kimmich | Germany | 31 | Defender | 177 | 75 |
| S. Gnabry | Germany | 31 | Midfielder | 176 | 77 |
| L. Goretzka | Germany | 31 | Midfielder | 189 | 82 |
| F. Nmecha | Germany | 25 | Midfielder | 190 | 73 |
| L. Sané | Germany | 30 | Midfielder | 183 | 80 |
| O. Baumann | Germany | 36 | Goalkeeper | 187 | 82 |
| N. Amiri | Germany | 29 | Midfielder | 180 | 75 |
| J. Tah | Germany | 30 | Defender | 195 | 94 |
| K. Havertz | Germany | 27 | Attacker | 193 | 83 |
| A. Rüdiger | Germany | 33 | Defender | 190 | 85 |
| K. Adeyemi | Germany | 24 | Midfielder | 180 | 75 |
| P. Groß | Germany | 35 | Midfielder | 181 | 78 |
| C. Führich | Germany | 28 | Midfielder | 181 | 73 |
| J. Vagnoman | Germany | 25 | Defender | 190 | 90 |
| Y. Bisseck | Germany | 25 | Defender | 196 | 83 |
| D. Raum | Germany | 28 | Defender | 180 | 75 |
| W. Anton | Germany | 30 | Defender | 189 | 86 |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Babić | Serbia | 30 | Defender | 195 | 96 |
| A. Terzić | Serbia | 27 | Defender | 184 | 75 |
| D. Joveljić | Serbia | 27 | Attacker | 181 | 75 |
| D. Tadić | Serbia | 37 | Attacker | 181 | 76 |
| A. Živković | Serbia | 30 | Midfielder | 169 | 66 |
| N. Gudelj | Serbia | 34 | Midfielder | 187 | 79 |
| M. Gaćinović | Serbia | 31 | Midfielder | 175 | 67 |
| F. Kostić | Serbia | 33 | Midfielder | 184 | 81 |
| L. Jović | Serbia | 28 | Forward | 181 | 78 |
| S. Milinković-Savić | Serbia | 31 | Midfielder | 192 | 83 |
| N. Radonjić | Serbia | 30 | Forward | 185 | 78 |
| P. Rajković | Serbia | 30 | Goalkeeper | 191 | 86 |
| N. Milenković | Serbia | 28 | Defender | 195 | 90 |
| S. Lukić | Serbia | 30 | Midfielder | 183 | 76 |
| N. Maksimović | Serbia | 31 | Midfielder | 189 | 69 |
| A. Mitrović | Serbia | 32 | Attacker | 189 | 89 |
| M. Grujić | Serbia | 30 | Midfielder | 191 | 78 |
| V. Milinković-Savić | Serbia | 29 | Goalkeeper | 202 | 96 |
| L. Ranđelović | Serbia | 29 | Midfielder | 178 cm | 68 kg |
| V. Birmančević | Serbia | 28 | Midfielder | 179 | 67 |
Weighing a strong overall Germany record against a genuinely struggling Serbia side, the balance still tips clearly towards the hosts, even with their recent blip factored in.
The main caution is that Germany haven't been flawless lately, and this group has already produced some surprise results, so it's not the safest kind of favourite. Backing them to win still looks the sounder route than anything more ambitious on the handicap.
