Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 11 Oct 2026

Minnesota United host Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer. Houston have had much the stronger campaign this year, while Minnesota have found things harder going by recent results.

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and the last two meetings both went to the home side. That's worth keeping in mind before we get into the detail.

Analysis updated 26 Sep 2026, 16:30 UTC.

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Form heading into this one

Houston's last 20 games make for solid reading: 11 wins, 6 draws and just 3 defeats, with 29 goals scored against 15 conceded. That's a team that's rarely been beaten and hasn't leaked much either.

What could your bet return?

Minnesota United FC to win

Your stake£

Odds2

Potential return£40.00Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return£72.00Bet Now

Houston Dynamo to win

Your stake£

Odds3.25

Potential return£65.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Minnesota United FC: 20 completed matches; Houston Dynamo: 20 completed matches.

Minnesota United FC

20 matches

Win: 15% 3 / 20
Draw: 35% 7 / 20
Loss: 50% 10 / 20

Scored: 34
Conceded: 39
Difference: -5

Houston Dynamo

20 matches

Win: 55% 11 / 20
Draw: 30% 6 / 20
Loss: 15% 3 / 20

Scored: 29
Conceded: 15
Difference: +14

Minnesota United FC
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Los Angeles Galaxy	20.09.2026	2-3
Major League Soccer	St. Louis City	Minnesota United FC	13.09.2026	4-2
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	FC Dallas	10.09.2026	1-2
Major League Soccer	Portland Timbers	Minnesota United FC	06.09.2026	5-4
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Orlando City SC	30.08.2026	3-3
Major League Soccer	San Jose Earthquakes	Minnesota United FC	23.08.2026	1-5
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Atlanta United FC	20.08.2026	1-2
Major League Soccer	Real Salt Lake	Minnesota United FC	16.08.2026	1-1
Leagues Cup	Minnesota United FC	Atlante FC	12.08.2026	3-1
Leagues Cup	Tigres UANL	Minnesota United FC	08.08.2026	0-0

Houston Dynamo
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	FC Cincinnati	20.09.2026	2-2
Major League Soccer	San Jose Earthquakes	Houston Dynamo	13.09.2026	1-0
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Real Salt Lake	10.09.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	Charlotte	Houston Dynamo	06.09.2026	0-0
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	San Jose Earthquakes	30.08.2026	0-0
Major League Soccer	St. Louis City	Houston Dynamo	23.08.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	Vancouver Whitecaps	Houston Dynamo	20.08.2026	0-1
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	16.08.2026	1-0
Major League Soccer	New England Revolution	Houston Dynamo	08.08.2026	0-2
Major League Soccer	Sporting Kansas City	Houston Dynamo	02.08.2026	0-2

Minnesota's equivalent stretch tells a different story. Three wins, seven draws and ten losses, with 34 scored but 39 conceded. They've been involved in some high-scoring games, but the defensive numbers stand out.

On recent form alone, Houston look the sharper of the two sides by some distance.

Recent head-to-head

Houston have won plenty of these meetings over the years, including some big away days at Minnesota. But the two most recent ones both went the way of the home team: Minnesota won 3-1 at home last June, and Houston won 2-0 at home the year before.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Houston Dynamo	26.06.2025	3-1
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Minnesota United FC	15.05.2025	2-0
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Minnesota United FC	14.07.2024	1-1
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Houston Dynamo	14.04.2024	1-2
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Minnesota United FC	13.07.2023	0-3
US Open Cup	Houston Dynamo	Minnesota United FC	24.05.2023	4-0
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Houston Dynamo	18.05.2023	1-0
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Houston Dynamo	27.08.2022	2-1
Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo	Minnesota United FC	24.07.2022	1-2
Major League Soccer	Minnesota United FC	Houston Dynamo	26.09.2021	2-0

It's a small sample, but it points to home advantage carrying some weight in this particular fixture.

Recent meetings suggest this one might not simply follow the league table.

Where they sit in the table

Houston are second with 44 points from 26 games, built on 13 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, and a positive goal difference of plus four.

№	Team	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF/GA	Points
Western Conference
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56/23	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34/30	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45/36	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49/42	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46/38	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43/29	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36/35	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34/42	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47/48	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30/33	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44/44	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32/44	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37/44	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39/46	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29/63	18

Minnesota sit 14th with 29 points from the same number of matches, having won just 7, and their goal difference is minus seven. That's a notable gap between the two.

The league table backs up what the recent form suggests.

Who's missing

Houston have a fair few names to monitor. Felipe Andrade, N. Quinones and M. Saracchi are all listed as questionable, while M. Arana, J. Maurer and A. Resch are out, some through injury and some on international duty.

Minnesota United FC:

Best scorers:

K. Yeboah - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Pereyra - 10

Penalty cards:

J. Díaz

x 8

Injury list:

J. Rodriguez

P. Stroud

C. Harvey

J. Pereyra

A. Smir

N. Triantis

Houston Dynamo:

Best scorers:

Guilherme - 14

Best assist providers:

Guilherme - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Bouzat

x 1

x 3

Felipe Andrade red card

x 8

Injury list:

Felipe Andrade

N. Quinones

M. Arana

J. Maurer

A. Resch

L. Foster

M. Saracchi

Minnesota's biggest concern is J. Pereyra, their top assist man with ten in 26 appearances, who's missing with a muscle injury. They've also got a handful away on international duty and doubts over J. Rodriguez and P. Stroud.

Both squads have gaps to fill, which makes the table and form figures a little harder to lean on fully.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 2

Х: 3.6

W2: 3.25

Handicap

Minnesota United FC

Houston Dynamo

Handicap (-3.5): 12.00

Handicap (-3.5): 1.02

Handicap (-2.5): 6.80

Handicap (-2.5): 1.04

Handicap (-2): 6.80

Handicap (-2): 1.10

Handicap (-1.75): 4.50

Handicap (-1.75): 1.19

Handicap (-1.5): 3.55

Handicap (-1.5): 1.27

Handicap (-1.25): 3.30

Handicap (-1.25): 1.32

Handicap (-1): 2.85

Handicap (-1): 1.40

Handicap (-0.75): 2.35

Handicap (-0.75): 1.58

Handicap (-0.5): 2.02

Handicap (-0.5): 1.78

Handicap (-0.25): 1.78

Handicap (-0.25): 2.02

Handicap (0): 1.52

Handicap (0): 2.42

Handicap (0.25): 1.40

Handicap (0.25): 2.85

Handicap (0.5): 1.32

Handicap (0.5): 3.30

Handicap (0.75): 1.23

Handicap (0.75): 4.00

Handicap (1): 1.13

Handicap (1): 5.90

Handicap (1.25): 1.12

Handicap (1.25): 6.40

Handicap (1.5): 1.10

Handicap (1.5): 6.80

Handicap (1.75): 1.02

Handicap (1.75): 8.10

Handicap (2.5): 1.02

Handicap (2.5): 12.00

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.03

Under (0.5): 15.00

Over (1.25): 1.08

Under (1.25): 5.45

Over (1.5): 1.20

Under (1.5): 4.33

Over (1.75): 1.21

Under (1.75): 3.58

Over (2): 1.27

Under (2): 3.20

Over (2.25): 1.45

Under (2.25): 2.47

Over (2.5): 1.67

Under (2.5): 2.15

Over (2.75): 1.78

Under (2.75): 1.88

Over (3): 2.01

Under (3): 1.66

Over (3.25): 2.26

Under (3.25): 1.51

Over (3.5): 2.62

Under (3.5): 1.44

Over (3.75): 2.97

Under (3.75): 1.30

Over (4): 3.82

Under (4): 1.19

Over (4.25): 4.15

Under (4.25): 1.16

Over (4.5): 5.00

Under (4.5): 1.17

Over (4.75): 5.50

Under (4.75): 1.08

Over (5): 7.50

Under (5): 1.03

Over (5.5): 10.00

Under (5.5): 1.06

Over (6.5): 21.00

Under (6.5): 1.01

Over (7.5): 41.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Minnesota United FC
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
J. Rodríguez	Colombia	35	Midfielder	180	75
J. Pereyra	Argentina	27	Midfielder	181	73
T. Chancalay	Argentina	27	Attacker	179	76
K. Yeboah	Italy	26	Attacker	182	73
D. Fitz	Austria	27	Midfielder	175	67
M. Malone	Germany	26	Attacker	186	87
B. Hlongwane	South Africa	26	Attacker	185	78
W. Trapp	USA	33	Midfielder	173	73
J. Gressel	USA	32	Midfielder	185	84
K. Duncan	USA	29	Midfielder	178	68
M. Boxall	New Zealand	38	Defender	191	95
D. Taylor	USA	29	Defender	173	83
C. Harvey	Panama	26	Midfielder	185	89
A. Smir	USA	27	Goalkeeper	188	83
J. Díaz	Colombia	25	Defender	186	83
D. Callender	USA	28	Goalkeeper	191	88
N. Triantis	Australia	23	Midfielder	191	n/a
P. Stroud	USA	24	Midfielder	n/a	n/a
O. Gene	France	23	Midfielder	185	78
N. Romero	Argentina	22	Defender	186	80

Houston Dynamo
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
H. Herrera	Mexico	36	Midfielder	185	80
E. Ponce	Argentina	29	Attacker	180	80
D. Samassékou	Mali	30	Midfielder	175	70
M. Saracchi	Uruguay	28	Defender	175	69
F. Negri	Argentina	31	Defender	170	70
A. Bouzat	Argentina	32	Midfielder	173	73
Guilherme	Brazil	31	Attacker	180	65
Antônio Carlos	Brazil	33	Defender	191	79
Lucas Halter	Brazil	26	Defender	188	94
E. Sviatchenko	Denmark	35	Defender	184	82
M. Bogusz	Poland	25	Attacker	175	69
J. Bond	England	33	Goalkeeper	196	85
D. Holmes	USA	31	Midfielder	168	65
Artur	Brazil	30	Midfielder	181	68
J. Maurer	USA	37	Goalkeeper	188	87
S. Vines	USA	27	Defender	178	68
O. Lingr	Czechia	27	Attacker	175	70
L. Ennali	Germany	24	Midfielder	172	56
J. McGlynn	USA	23	Midfielder	183	73
A. Ibrahim	Nigeria	24	Attacker	184	77

There's a clear gap between these two sides on paper, with Houston well ahead in both current form and the league table. But recent meetings between these clubs haven't followed that pattern, and both squads have missing players who matter.

Given all that, and with no market price to weigh against these mixed signals, it feels right to leave this one alone rather than force a view.