Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Form check

Fiorentina have had a mixed run recently. They picked up a big win at Venezia, coming from behind to win 4-2, but they've also lost three of their last five league games, including a heavy defeat at Roma and a home loss to Frosinone. That leaves them with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five Serie A matches.

What could your bet return?

1

Genoa to win

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Odds3

Potential return

£60.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.25

Potential return

£65.00

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2

Fiorentina to win

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Odds2.3

Potential return

£46.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Genoa: 20 completed matches; Fiorentina: 20 completed matches.

Genoa

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

34

Difference

-15

Fiorentina

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

27

Difference

+7

Genoa's form is the bigger concern. They're winless in their last five league games, drawing with Frosinone and losing to Napoli, Lazio, Como and Parma. The 1-4 home defeat to Como was particularly rough, and it's been a difficult start to the season at both ends of the pitch for them.

Genoa's winless run makes them the shakier side heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Genoa vs Fiorentina

A history of tight contests

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and draws have been a common outcome. Two of their last three meetings finished level, including a 0-0 in May and a 2-2 at Genoa the season before. There have been lopsided results in the past too, like Fiorentina's 6-0 win back in 2022, but that's from a different era for both clubs.

Recent meetings have been close, even with the current form gap between the sides.

Where they stand

Fiorentina sit 17th with four points from five games, while Genoa are 19th with just a single point. Both have work to do this early, but Fiorentina's tally at least includes one win and a draw, whereas Genoa have only that one point to show for their five matches so far.

Key men to watch

Franco Mastantuono has been Fiorentina's most productive attacker lately, scoring three goals in his last five appearances. For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo has chipped in with a couple of assists over the same span, while defender Leo Østigård has picked up three yellow cards in his last five games, a sign of how stretched Genoa have been at the back.

Genoa:

Best assist providers:

L. Colombo - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Vásquez x 1 x 1

L. Østigård x 3

Fiorentina:

Best scorers:

Franco Mastantuono - 3

How this one might go

Neither defence has been especially solid. Fiorentina have conceded 12 goals in their last five league games, and Genoa have shipped 10 in the same span while scoring only three. That combination points to a game where Fiorentina's sharper finishing could be the deciding factor, even if their own leaky backline gives Genoa a route back into it.

Goals at both ends wouldn't be a surprise, but Genoa's toothless attack is the bigger worry.