Mozambique vs Ethiopia Prediction

Recent Form Checks

Mozambique's longer run of 18 matches shows five wins, four draws and nine losses, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. That sample covers everything from AFCON qualifiers to friendlies against sides like Morocco and South Africa, so it's a broad mix rather than a tight run of qualifier form.

What could your bet return?

1

Mozambique to win

Your stake£

Odds1.44

Potential return

£28.80

Bet Now

X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

Bet Now

2

Ethiopia to win

Your stake£

Odds7.17

Potential return

£143.40

Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Mozambique: 18 completed matches; Ethiopia: 8 completed matches.

Mozambique

18 matches

Win

27.8% 5 / 18

Draw

22.2% 4 / 18

Loss

50% 9 / 18

Scored

18

Conceded

27

Difference

-9

Ethiopia

8 matches

Win

25% 2 / 8

Draw

25% 2 / 8

Loss

50% 4 / 8

Scored

5

Conceded

13

Difference

-8

Ethiopia's sample is smaller, just eight matches, with two wins, two draws and four losses. They've shipped 13 goals while scoring only five, and most of those games came in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying series itself.

Neither side has been banging in goals lately, and both have leaked plenty at the other end.

Comparative Team Statistics: Mozambique vs Ethiopia

Head-to-Head

These two have only one recorded meeting, a goalless draw back in January 2023 at the African Nations Championship. That's a different competition with different eligibility rules, so it doesn't tell us much about how this qualifier might play out.

The Group Picture So Far

In this qualifying group, Mozambique sit second with four points from two games, a win and a draw with no defeats yet. Ethiopia are down in fourth, still on zero points after two straight losses.

The goal difference is tight for both, Mozambique have conceded twice despite their better record, and Ethiopia have also only let in two, which suggests their defeats haven't been one-sided.

Mozambique's unbeaten start gives them a clear edge on paper, even if the matches themselves have been close.

How This One Might Shape Up

Mozambique go into this with the better group position and home advantage, but their wider form shows plenty of defeats mixed in, including some heavy ones like the 4-0 loss to Nigeria. Ethiopia arrive having lost their last two qualifiers, both by narrow margins, so they haven't been completely cut open.

With both sides showing defensive wobbles rather than strength, this could easily be a scrappy, low-scoring affair rather than anything one-sided.