Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Recent form

Arsenal's last 20 matches across all competitions read 14 wins, three draws and three losses, scoring 35 and conceding just 17. That's a tidy defensive record over a decent sample size, even though it includes cup and friendly fixtures alongside league games.

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1

Liverpool to win

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Draw

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2

Arsenal to win

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Liverpool: 20 completed matches; Arsenal: 20 completed matches.

Liverpool

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

32

Difference

+6

Arsenal

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

17

Difference

+21

Liverpool's equivalent run shows nine wins, six draws and five losses, with 34 scored but 28 conceded. They've found goals themselves but have looked a bit looser at the back than Arsenal over the same stretch.

Arsenal look tighter at the back heading into this one, while Liverpool have conceded more freely despite scoring plenty themselves.

Comparative Team Statistics: Liverpool vs Arsenal

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these two have been close. There was a 0-0 in January, a 2-2 the previous season, and Liverpool's last home win in the fixture came by a single goal in August 2025. Going further back there are wins both ways, including some high-scoring affairs, but nothing suggesting one side has had the upper hand lately.

That pattern of tight scorelines is worth keeping in mind, since neither side has dominated this fixture in recent seasons.

League position

In the current Premier League table Arsenal sit second with 12 points from five games, having won four and lost just one. Liverpool are sixth with nine points from the same number of matches, built on two wins and three draws.

Arsenal also have the better goal difference of the two, with eight scored and four conceded compared to Liverpool's seven and four.

Arsenal arrive with the better points return, though both sides have shown they can drop points along the way.

Players to watch

Alexander Isak has been Liverpool's standout scorer with four goals in five appearances, and Cody Gakpo has chipped in three assists in the same span, which points to where a lot of their attacking threat is coming from.

Liverpool:

Best scorers:

A. Isak - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Gakpo - 3

Penalty cards:

M. Kerkez x 2

Arsenal:

Best scorers:

B. Saka - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rice - 2

R. Calafiori - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Tzolis x 2

For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka leads the scoring with three goals in five games, with Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori each supplying two assists. Both sides also have a player who's picked up two yellow cards in five matches, Christos Tzolis for Arsenal and Milos Kerkez for Liverpool, so discipline could be a small factor too.

How it could play out

Liverpool's attack, led by Isak and fed by Gakpo, will test an Arsenal defence that's conceded only 17 goals across its last 20 matches in all competitions. At the other end, Arsenal's own scoring threat through Saka, backed by service from Rice and Calafiori, could find space against a Liverpool defence that's been a bit more open.

Given how tight recent meetings between these two have been, including that 0-0 back in January, a cagey, closely contested match wouldn't be a shock here either.