New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Form check on both sides

New York Red Bulls have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 10 in their last 20 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 36. That's a defence that's leaked goals fairly consistently, even with wins mixed in.

New York Red Bulls: 20 completed matches; Toronto FC: 20 completed matches.

New York Red Bulls

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

36

Difference

-12

Toronto FC

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

40

Difference

-13

Toronto FC's recent run reads differently: 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses from their own last 20, with 30 scored and 41 conceded. They're drawing far more often than they're winning, which points to games that stay close but don't always go their way.

Toronto's habit of drawing rather than winning is worth remembering if this one stays tight.

Comparative Team Statistics: New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

What head-to-head tells us

These two have met 20 times in the record we have, going back to 2017, and results have swung both ways. There have been heavy away wins on both sides, including a 4-1 Toronto win on the road and a 4-1 New York win in the other direction.

The two most recent meetings, in mid-2025 and again in March 2026, both finished 1-1. That suggests recent head-to-head form has been tighter than the wider history suggests.

Where they sit in the table

New York Red Bulls are 8th on 33 points from 26 games, with 9 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. Toronto are 12th on 29 points from the same number of matches, with 6 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses.

Only four points separate them, but they've got there differently. New York have more wins and more losses, while Toronto have drawn far more often. Neither side has a strong goal difference to lean on.

It's close enough in the table that home advantage could matter as much as recent form.

Team news and fitness notes

New York have several players listed as questionable, including Harper, Sofo, Donkor and Nealis, with knee and ankle issues among them. A number of others are marked as away on international duty in the data, though it isn't clear whether that overlaps with this specific matchday.

New York Red Bulls:

Penalty cards:

R. Donkor x 8

Injury list:

C. Harper

M. Sofo

R. Donkor

D. Nealis

J. Che

A. Marcucci

J. Marshall-Rutty

Toronto FC:

Penalty cards:

W. Zimmerman x 1 x 5

R. Edwards x 1 x 3

Toronto have similar concerns. Mihailovic is out with a muscle injury and Palacio with a lower-body issue, while Zimmerman has been flagged as missing a fixture through yellow-card accumulation. Chukwu, Cimermancic, Kuscevic and Laryea are also listed as away on international duty.

Both squads look thinner than usual on paper, though confirmed line-ups will only be clear closer to kickoff.