Burnley host Portsmouth in the Championship. Burnley have found results hard to come by recently, while Portsmouth have had a steadier, more settled campaign.
Burnley go into this as the home side and the bookies' favourites, yet their form at home this season hasn't matched that billing. That contrast is worth digging into before deciding where the value lies.
Analysis updated .
Where to place this bet
Burnley's home form doesn't match their favourites tag
Burnley haven't won any of their last six home league games, picking up four draws and two defeats in that run. It's not a case of getting unlucky either, since they've only scored in half of those matches.
What could your bet return?
Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
Burnley: 20 completed matches; Portsmouth: 20 completed matches.
Burnley
- Win
- 5% 1 / 20
- Draw
- 45% 9 / 20
- Loss
- 50% 10 / 20
- Scored
- 24
- Conceded
- 39
- Difference
- -15
Portsmouth
- Win
- 30% 6 / 20
- Draw
- 35% 7 / 20
- Loss
- 35% 7 / 20
- Scored
- 23
- Conceded
- 27
- Difference
- -4
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Lincoln | Burnley | 24.10.2026 | 4-1 |
| Championship | Burnley | Wolves | 16.10.2026 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Burnley | Charlton | 13.10.2026 | 2-2 |
| Championship | Watford | Burnley | 10.10.2026 | 0-4 |
| Championship | Burnley | Derby | 19.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Swansea | Burnley | 12.09.2026 | 3-1 |
| Championship | Wrexham | Burnley | 08.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Burnley | Bristol City | 05.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Burnley | Middlesbrough | 02.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Norwich | Burnley | 29.08.2026 | 4-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Portsmouth | Millwall | 24.10.2026 | 2-1 |
| Championship | Wolves | Portsmouth | 20.10.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Norwich | Portsmouth | 17.10.2026 | 0-1 |
| Championship | Portsmouth | Sheffield Utd | 14.10.2026 | 3-2 |
| Championship | Southampton | Portsmouth | 11.10.2026 | 1-0 |
| Championship | Portsmouth | Blackburn | 19.09.2026 | 2-2 |
| Championship | Charlton | Portsmouth | 12.09.2026 | 0-0 |
| Championship | Portsmouth | Cardiff | 05.09.2026 | 2-0 |
| Championship | Portsmouth | Derby | 01.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Championship | Bristol City | Portsmouth | 29.08.2026 | 2-1 |
Portsmouth's away form tells a different story. They've won three of their last six league games on the road, including victories at Norwich and Lincoln, and have only lost twice away from home in that spell.
Burnley being priced as favourites looks more about reputation than recent home evidence.
Comparative Team Statistics: Burnley vs Portsmouth

Recent meetings have been close, not Burnley routs
The last two Championship meetings between these sides were tight. Portsmouth held Burnley to a 0-0 draw in February 2025, and Burnley edged the reverse fixture 2-1 in September 2024.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Portsmouth | Burnley | 01.02.2025 | 0-0 |
| Championship | Burnley | Portsmouth | 21.09.2024 | 2-1 |
| Championship | Portsmouth | Burnley | 31.03.2012 | 1-5 |
| Championship | Burnley | Portsmouth | 10.12.2011 | 0-1 |
There are two older results from the early 2010s in the record too, but those squads bear little relation to either side today.
Nothing here points to Burnley being able to dominate this matchup.
A big gap in the table
Portsmouth sit 13th with 14 points from ten games. Burnley are down in 22nd with just eight points from eleven matches.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18/18 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13/13 | 14 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15/16 | 14 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17/21 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16/21 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9/20 | 6 |
That's a sizeable difference for a fixture where Burnley are at home. It backs up what the recent form is already suggesting.
Limited team news to work with
The only player detail available is about Burnley's J. Laurent, who's picked up two yellow cards in his last seven appearances. That's a discipline note rather than anything suggesting he'll miss out.

How this one might play out
Put the pieces together and Burnley's home struggles, their league position, and Portsmouth's healthier away form all point the same way. This doesn't look like a match where the home side should be odds-on.
Recent meetings have been low-scoring and close, and neither team's form suggests a one-sided scoreline is likely here either.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bruun Larsen | Denmark | 28 | Midfielder | 183 | 77 |
| K. Walker | England | 36 | Defender | 183 | 80 |
| J. Worrall | England | 29 | Defender | 193 | 64 |
| A. Ahmedhodžić | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 27 | Defender | 190 | 84 |
| Igor | Brazil | 28 | Defender | 185 | 85 |
| J. Vardy | England | 39 | Attacker | 179 | 74 |
| C. Roberts | Wales | 31 | Defender | 175 | 72 |
| B. Amos | England | 36 | Goalkeeper | 180 | 70 |
| J. Laurent | England | 31 | Midfielder | 188 | 70 |
| G. Coudert | France | 27 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 85 |
| Z. Flemming | Netherlands | 28 | Attacker | 185 | 84 |
| M. Trésor | Belgium | 27 | Attacker | 172 | 64 |
| M. Edwards | England | 27 | Midfielder | 168 | 65 |
| H. Ekdal | Sweden | 28 | Defender | 188 | 77 |
| Z. Amdouni | Switzerland | 25 | Attacker | 185 | 79 |
| O. Sonne | Denmark | 25 | Defender | 184 | 72 |
| L. Ramazani | Belgium | 25 | Attacker | 167 | 55 |
| A. Broja | Albania | 25 | Attacker | 191 | 83 |
| A. Hountondji | Benin | 24 | Attacker | 190 | 64 |
| H. Mejbri | Tunisia | 23 | Midfielder | 177 | 74 |
| R. Hatate | Japan | 28 | Midfielder | 171 | 70 |
| B. Humphreys | England | 23 | Defender | 187 | 79 |
| S. Sambo | Netherlands | 25 | Defender | 174 | 65 |
| A. Ramsey | England | 23 | Midfielder | 181 | n/a |
| Max Alleyne | England | 21 | Defender | 185 | 71 |
| M. Weiß | Germany | 22 | Goalkeeper | 190 | 84 |
| Lucas Pires | Brazil | 25 | Defender | 175 | 71 |
| U. Raghouber | France | 23 | Midfielder | 180 | 62 |
| E. Agyei | Belgium | 21 | Attacker | 172 | n/a |
| D. Satpaev | Kazakhstan | 18 | Attacker | 173 | 62 |
| G. Brierley | n/a | n/a | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| E. Clark | n/a | n/a | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| L. Castell | n/a | n/a | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Schmid | Austria | 29 | Goalkeeper | 195 | 81 |
| R. Poole | Wales | 28 | Defender | 180 | 76 |
| K. Anderson | England | 31 | Midfielder | 175 | 68 |
| E. Adams | Gambia | 30 | Midfielder | 178 | 76 |
| B. Killip | England | 30 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 74 |
| J. Murphy | England | 31 | Midfielder | 173 | 67 |
| M. Pack | England | 35 | Midfielder | 188 | 76 |
| J. Swift | England | 31 | Midfielder | 182 | 73 |
| J. Knight | England | 29 | Defender | 185 | 78 |
| D. Bielica | Poland | 27 | Goalkeeper | 191 | 76 |
| C. Shaughnessy | Republic of Ireland | 30 | Defender | 191 | 74 |
| L. Le Roux | South Africa | 26 | Midfielder | 184 | 70 |
| R. Shein | Estonia | 23 | Midfielder | 185 | 75 |
| O. Bailey | England | 26 | Midfielder | 178 | 75 |
| T. Shade | St. Kitts and Nevis | 26 | Midfielder | 183 | 78 |
| C. Bishop | England | 30 | Attacker | 180 | 72 |
| T. Devlin | Northern Ireland | 23 | Defender | 180 | n/a |
| Z. Swanson | England | 26 | Defender | 189 | n/a |
| I. Mohamed | Comoros | 25 | Midfielder | 191 | 80 |
| H. Blair | England | 23 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| A. Kamara | England | 23 | Midfielder | 186 | 81 |
| A. Segecic | Australia | 22 | Midfielder | 173 | 73 |
| M. Milovanović | Serbia | 23 | Attacker | 197 | 88 |
| F. Umeh | Republic of Ireland | 21 | Attacker | 185 | 73 |
| J. Meghoma | England | 20 | Defender | 175 | 80 |
| T. Waddingham | Australia | 21 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| H. Matthews | Australia | 22 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| E. Kenny | Republic of Ireland | 20 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Benjamin Arthur | England | 21 | Defender | 189 | 80 |
| M. Dia | Senegal | 22 | Defender | 192 | n/a |
| L. Brooke-Smith | New Zealand | 18 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| R. Kavuma McQueen | n/a | n/a | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
Taking Portsmouth not to lose makes sense given how often Burnley have failed to win at home this season, paired with Portsmouth's firmer away record and healthier table position.
It's not a case of expecting Portsmouth to cruise, since recent meetings have been close affairs, but the handicap cushion fits the pattern both teams have been showing.
