Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Form guide: Boro in rare touch

Middlesbrough have won three of their last four games, including a 5-1 win at Bolton and a 3-2 win at Stoke, both away from home. They're scoring goals freely and defending well enough to back up a strong league position.

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1

Wrexham to win

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Draw

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Middlesbrough to win

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Wrexham: 20 completed matches; Middlesbrough: 20 completed matches.

Wrexham

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

21

Conceded

26

Difference

-5

Middlesbrough

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

31

Difference

+6

Wrexham's recent run tells a different story. They've beaten Preston and Southampton at home but also lost to Blackburn, West Brom and Birmingham, so their home form swings from one week to the next.

Middlesbrough's away form looks a lot more reliable than Wrexham's home form right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

Head to head: tight recent meetings

The last three meetings between these two have been close. Middlesbrough won 1-0 in a League Cup tie back in August, but the two league meetings since last season have both finished level, 2-2 and 1-1.

That suggests neither side has had it easy against the other, even with the gap in the table growing.

Recent head-to-head results have leaned towards draws rather than one-sided results.

League table: a big gap in points

Middlesbrough sit third with 22 points from 11 games, six wins and just one defeat. Wrexham are down in 14th with 14 points, having won only three of their 11 matches.

That's a real gap in quality on paper, even if the head-to-head record hasn't always reflected it.

Key men to watch

Will Lankshear has been Middlesbrough's main threat, scoring six goals in his last eight appearances. Lewis Ayling has chipped in with assists from midfield.

Wrexham:

Best scorers:

K. Moore - 3

Best assist providers:

Daniel Edward Peter Imray - 2

Penalty cards:

D. Hyam x 3

Middlesbrough:

Best scorers:

W. Lankshear - 6

Best assist providers:

L. Ayling - 2

For Wrexham, Kieron Moore leads the scoring with three goals in eight games, while Daniel Imray has set up a couple too. Danny Hyam has picked up three yellow cards in his last eight outings, so discipline could be worth keeping an eye on.

How this one could play out

Wrexham have kept things tight in some games but shipped six at West Ham and conceded against most of the better sides they've faced. Middlesbrough's attack has been potent on the road, which could make for an open game.

If Middlesbrough start the way they've been finishing games lately, Wrexham's inconsistent home form could be tested again.