Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Form snapshot: Ajax surging, AZ stumbling

Ajax have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the only non-win a draw against NEC Nijmegen. That streak takes in wins over Sparta Rotterdam, Groningen, Atalanta and Hajduk Split, with goals flowing at both ends of the pitch.

What could your bet return?

1

Ajax to win

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Odds1.73

Potential return

£34.60

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X

Draw

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Odds4.2

Potential return

£84.00

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2

AZ Alkmaar to win

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Odds3.9

Potential return

£78.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Ajax: 20 completed matches; AZ Alkmaar: 20 completed matches.

Ajax

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

59

Conceded

27

Difference

+32

AZ Alkmaar

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

43

Conceded

22

Difference

+21

AZ's recent run looks very different. They've lost three of their last five, including a 4-0 defeat away at Ararat-Armenia in the Europa League and a 2-0 home loss to Twente in the league just days before this preview was written. Their only win in that spell came against Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Current momentum sits with Ajax, whatever the league table says.

Comparative Team Statistics: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

A head-to-head that's recently favoured AZ

AZ have had the better of this fixture lately. Of the last five meetings, AZ have won three and drawn two, including a 6-0 thrashing of Ajax in the KNVB Beker back in January 2026 and a 2-0 away win in the league last October.

That run shows AZ can be a real match for Ajax when these two meet, whatever their broader form elsewhere suggests.

This fixture has a habit of not following the form book.

A table that's about to catch up with recent results

As things stand, AZ are second in the Eredivisie with 20 points from nine games, two places and two points above Ajax in fourth on 18. That snapshot comes from just before each side's most recent outing, though, missing Ajax's win over Sparta Rotterdam and AZ's loss to Twente.

Add those results in and the gap looks a good deal narrower than the raw positions suggest.

Two points is nothing in a league this tight.

Goals shared around the final third

Ajax's J. Brandt and AZ's R. Daal have both scored four goals in their last seven appearances, with AZ's M. Meerdink adding three of his own. On the creative side, Ajax's O. Gloukh leads with four assists in his last seven games, while AZ's M. Chávez has three.

Ajax:

Best scorers:

J. Brandt - 4

Best assist providers:

O. Gloukh - 4

K. Dolberg - 3

Penalty cards:

A. Ouazane x 2

D. Klaassen x 2

Y. Baas x 2

AZ Alkmaar:

Best scorers:

R. Daal - 4

M. Meerdink - 3

Best assist providers:

M. Chávez - 3

M. Meerdink - 2

Penalty cards:

A. Oufkir x 2

A handful of players on both sides are picking up yellow cards regularly, though nothing in the data points to anyone being unavailable for this one.