Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction

Leeds unbeaten, Bournemouth winless

Leeds have had a tidy run in their last five Premier League games, picking up two wins and three draws without losing. They won away at Nottingham Forest and put four past Newcastle at home, while drawing with Brighton, Brentford and Crystal Palace.

Bournemouth: 20 completed matches; Leeds: 20 completed matches.

Bournemouth

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

48

Conceded

27

Difference

+21

Leeds

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

25

Difference

+9

Bournemouth's recent run looks very different. They've lost at Manchester City and at Liverpool, and drawn the other three, including back-to-back 2-2s against Newcastle and Brentford. They're still waiting for a win in that sequence.

Comparative Team Statistics: Bournemouth vs Leeds

This fixture has a habit of being close

The last two Premier League meetings between these two both finished 2-2, one at each ground, despite very different form lines either side of those games. Go back further and it's less even, with a 4-1 Bournemouth win and a 4-3 Leeds win both on record.

Current form points one way, but recent head-to-head results suggest this fixture doesn't always follow the form book.

A clear gap in the table

Those results show up straight away in the standings. Leeds sit fifth with nine points from five games, while Bournemouth are down in 17th with just three points from the same number of matches. Leeds have conceded only three goals so far this season, Bournemouth have let in eight.

Goals and bookings fairly even

Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Matt Tavernier have each scored three times in their last five appearances, so both sides have a reliable source of goals. Evanilson has added three assists for Bournemouth in that spell. Discipline has been fairly even too, with Calvert-Lewin, Adam Smith and Tavernier all picking up three yellow cards apiece.

Bournemouth:

Best scorers:

M. Tavernier - 3

Best assist providers:

Evanilson - 3

Penalty cards:

A. Smith x 3

M. Tavernier x 2

Leeds:

Best scorers:

D. Calvert-Lewin - 3

Penalty cards:

D. Calvert-Lewin x 3

J. Bogle x 2

Form gap versus head-to-head pattern

Put it together and there's a real contrast: Leeds arrive with a tighter defence and an unbeaten run, Bournemouth with a leaky one and no wins in their last five. Yet the head-to-head record shows this fixture can still throw up goals at both ends regardless of who's in better shape coming in.